Commodity Online：中国要买930亿美元的黄金

波默默妞

【原文标题】Why China wants to buy $93 billion worth of gold
【中文标题】为什么中国要买价值930亿美元的黄金
【原文链接】http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Why-China-wants-to-buy-$93-billion-worth-of-gold-15578-3-1.html
【翻译】波默默妞
【声明】本翻译只供Anti-CNN使用，如需转载需注明出处及本文链接。
【译文】

中国的投资家们要当心了！可不要陷入闪闪发光金子陷阱里。在全球市场下滑的情况下，中国投资人都争相购进黄金。
但是，对黄金的投资也是充满了风险，而且现在处于关键时刻，投资者们更需当心。
根据分析家们所说，黄金是一种很好的保值物品。但是纸黄金和黄金期货的风险高于黄金投资10倍。购买跟黄金有关的股票也是很具风险的行为。
迪拜的一位金银条投资分析家，Mark Robinson认为：“黄金是一种可靠的资产。买实物黄金对比其它投资来说有很多好处。（但是）投资黄金金融产品和纸黄金还是留给专业人士来做吧。”
据Robinson讲，黄金投资在中国的市场已经开始显现拥挤的状态。飞涨的价格和市场的需求使得（中国的黄金）市场火爆起来。此外，美国股市表现疲软，美元预期低迷，加之投资者们对银行业危机的顾忌，都推动了人们对黄金的需求。
在过去5年当中，每当黄金投资繁荣起来，市场就会浮现出更多的问题。很多投资人都蒙受了很大损失，因为他们不控制不住自己，不停往里砸钱。
同时，中国拥有将近2万亿美元的储备资金。北京的小猪扑满里已经装满了钱。实际上，这2万亿美元使中国成为这个星球上有史以来拥有外汇储备最多的国家。
然而,美国现在有近11.4万亿的外债,其中还不包括房地产危机中不确定的债务.
按这种情况发展的话,中国的人民币应当更加具有购买力.但事实并非这样-美元仍然保持强势.
但是,在未来几年里,中国基本上会垄断世界黄金市场.
中国政府知道美元作为储备货币的地位即将成为历史.就像英镑在20世纪初丢掉世界储备货币的地位一样.
中国官员也认为,随着中国迅速向超级经济大国迈进,人民币也应该成为一个世界级的,稳定的货币交易媒介.他们想象着有一天人民币成为国际上主要的货币,和美元有同样的地位,甚至更高.这就是为什么他们要用黄金来为人民币提供后盾.此外,中国政府购买更多黄金作为部分储备还有另一个原因.中国的资产中大约有1.3万亿是美元资产.他们还一时间还摆脱不了美元的束缚.那样会破毁美国的经济,这对中国具有直接的消极影响.所以明智的做法是:用黄金来保护和分流现有的美元存款.中国现在有600吨的黄金,只占总储备的0.9%.是任何工业化经济体中最少的。而美国77.3%的外汇储备都是黄金.为了将黄金储备比例提高到5%,中国不得不购买价值为930亿的金条.那就会很轻易地使黄金价格飙升至$2000每盎司.

【原文】BEIJING: Chinese investors beware! Don’t get trapped in the glitter of gold. In China, investors have been rushing to gold following the crash of global markets.

But, the investment in gold is also riddled with risk and this is a critical time now where investors should be cautious with their gold investment.

According to analysts, gold can be a very good product for holding its value. But the risks for paper gold and gold futures are nearly 10 times bigger than real gold investment. Buying gold related stocks can also be a risky move.

"Gold is a very solid asset. Buying physical gold does have advantages compared with other investments. Investments in gold-backed financial products and paper gold should be left up to the professionals," says Mark Robinson, a bullion analyst based in Dubai.

According to Robinson, gold investment in China is starting to look like a crowded marketplace. It’s being boosted by the rising prices and market demand. And the unpleasant performance of the US stock market, low expectations for the US dollar, as well as investors’ concerns over the banking crisis have also pushed up people’s need for gold.

Over the past 5 years, when gold investment was booming, more problems tended to appear in the market. Many investors have been hit really hard because they couldn’t contain themselves, and continued to pour more money into it.

Meanwhile, China has nearly $2 trillion in surplus reserves. Beijing’s piggy bank is overflowing with money. In fact, at nearly $2 trillion, China has the largest foreign reserves of any country in the history of the planet.

Whereas Washington now has nearly $11.4 trillion in debts, not counting the contingent liabilities of the real estate crisis.

With this case scenario, China’s currency yuan should have more purchasing power. But that’s not the case — the dollar remains stronger.

But, over the next few years China is essentially going to corner the world’s gold market.

Beijing knows that the dollar’s status as a reserve currency is soon going to be history. Just like the pound sterling lost its status as the world’s reserve currency in the early 20th century.

And authorities in Beijing also believe that as China rapidly progresses toward superpower economic status, the yuan should be a world-class, stable medium of exchange.

They envision the yuan as a major international currency some day, with as much (or more) status than the US dollar. That’s why they’re going to back the yuan with gold.

Plus, there’s another reason for Beijing to buy more gold as part of China’s piggy bank. China has an estimated $1.3 trillion invested in dollar-denominated investments. They can’t get out of the dollar quickly. It would destroy the US economy which would have a direct negative impact on China.

So the smart thing to do: Hedge and diversify existing dollar holdings with gold. China has a mere 0.9% of its reserves in gold (600 tonnes) now. That’s the lowest of any industrialised economy. The US has 77.3% of its foreign reserves in gold.

Just to up its reserves to 5% in gold, Beijing would have to purchase $93 billion worth of bullion. That could easily send the yellow metal skyrocketing to more than $2,000 an ounce.

halooter

黄金炒家的托
不会一下子就买那么多的，慢慢来，呵呵
下一个通胀期价格会降下来的，再吸收一些

acaijl

只要把我们每年生产的黄金都留在国内就好了，只要把国内三大金矿的控股权拿回来就好了！

acaijl

只要把我们每年生产的黄金都留在国内就好了，只要把国内三大金矿的控股权拿回来就好了！

firegun_2003

one day, when people wake up, would find the USD would be no better than the Japnanese Yen. the West law tenders are doomed to be paper-cheap! Gold wasnat and never to be the "Trace of savage", but the only value lasts!

无可就要

中国每年250吨的黄金产量到哪里去了?

中国不是全球最大的黄金生产国吗?

阿木

国家的战略储备应该不止那么点，就如同武器一样，具体数量一定是一个谜