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【10.11.11 经济学家】被巨龙吞噬 - 被中国公司收购的感觉如何(二楼附部分评论)

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发表于 2010-12-14 14:29 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
【中文标题】被巨龙吞噬 - 被中国公司收购的感觉如何
【原文标题】Being eaten by the dragon - What it feels like to be bought by a Chinese firm
【登载媒体】经济学家
【原文链接】http://www.economist.com/node/17460954


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几年前的一个晚上,一家国际石油公司的两位高管在已经几乎废弃的英格兰办公室中加班,一位令人惊艳的中国年轻女人出现在前台。一位高管说:“她非常吸引人,手里拎着Gucci皮包。”她提交了一份来自中国石化——一家中国国有能源企业——价值数十亿美元的并购提案。稍令人遗憾的是,她很快就消失在夜色中,搭乘一辆本地牌照的汽车离开,再也没有出现过。

很快,他的公司就被另一家中国公司收购。从那时开始,西方公司的老板们就开始在多伦多和开普敦的会议中经常被中国公司打招呼,甚至在斯堪的纳维亚还有直接的登门拜访。欧洲的公司已经开始招徕中国的投资,全世界的银行家在中国的大公司间穿行,兜售西方公司。今年,中国和香港的买家交易金额占据了全球交易金额的十分之一。其中包括石油和某行业中的领衔公司,比如吉利购买了瑞典汽车沃尔沃。十年前,中国在“走出去”的口号下敦促企业扩张,现在一切都成为了现实。


巨龙的第一口火焰

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鉴于中国的崛起,必然会有越来越多的收购项目。对于外商直接投资(FDI)全球股市的控制,包括收购和公司的新建风险投资,可以反映出一个国家的经济实力。英国在1914年掌握全球FDI的45%,美国在1967年达到50%的顶峰。今天的中国,即使包括香港和澳门,也仅占6%(见图1)。统计中包括的中国公司大部分是国有企业,已经是全球最大的公司,它们的股票市值占全球股市总值的十分之一。其中大部分依然是依靠国内消费支撑。

中国的高额储蓄还会引发更多的收购行为。中国的公司总有富余的现金,中国的银行总有富余的储蓄。现在,这些富余的储蓄以主权债务基金和中央银行的方式,通过购买债券等投资组合流入富裕的国家。

公开宣布交易的成功总是显得有些装模作样。木纳的中国公司管理层坚持认为他们的行为完全是出于商业目的,西方的老板们则在欢庆一个新的合作时代的到来。然而这些转变是相当复杂的,部分原因在于文化差异,还有部分原因在于中国政府在其中扮演的角色。也有一些收购失败的案例。2005年,中国一家石油公司中海油撤回收购加利福尼亚生产商优尼科的企图,原因是美国政客表示强烈的不满。2009年,英澳采矿企业力拓决定撤回向中国金属公司中铝出售少数股权的决定。力拓的股东拒绝这个方案,但是很多人猜测澳大利亚政府也有类似的态度。

经济学家曾经匿名采访过11家西方公司,它们在过去或者现在都曾经被中国公司收购,或者向中国公司出售股权,或者至少进行过类似谈判。其中的10项交易价值都超过10亿美元。这些人说的话可以让我们看到中国公司扩张的实力,以及政府背景难懂的游戏规则。他们普遍的印象既有对中国的野心和技术力量所怀有的敬畏心理,也有对中国公司从事全球业务能力方面缺乏信心。

谈判的过程通常分为两部分:在投资银行办公室马拉松式的会议,地点一般在伦敦;被收购公司的高层被邀请到中国大陆或香港参观。他们在那里会被要求向庞大的听众群做史诗般的电脑演示,还会出席宴会和秘密讨论,讨论地点一般在买方的酒店中。

大部分参观者都对中国公司的技术知识印象深刻。双方都愿意结交朋友,一位英国人说:“感情和信任很重要。”因为中国公司的管理层行事方式难以琢磨,又往往很武断。中国的谈判者通常使用烈性酒来突破谈判中的障碍,并以此占据上风。一个欧洲人说,这是广为人知的手段。他刚刚在一个酒店中花费了暗无天日的几天时间研究晦涩的合同条款。“他们总是找来各种各样的人来把你灌醉……有一次我甚至肯定他们找来了一位总机话务员。”

大部分被收购的公司都需要翻译,但是必须要小心。一位矿产公司的老板对他的翻译似乎产生了好感,但还是开玩笑说:“她就是打入内部的间谍。”大部分公司高层都信任东道主,但也并非全部。一个欧洲人说:“他们了解我的一切,我家里的电脑遭到了52次来自中国的攻击。”另一个老板在谈判一个有争议的自然资源企业并购过程中,发现气氛有些异常:“你不得不拆下手机中的电池,因为有人告诉你房间里有qie听器。”

中国公司的内部权力结构对外人来说有些神秘,即使是被政府背景公司锁定为收购目标的西方公司高层人员也不明就里。很多人说,他们都是被共产党官员阶级分别控制的。公司中级别最高的党代表——总书记——并不一定是最高层的管理者。尽管一个西方管理者曾经说二者的区别很明显(“公司里有党的人,也有真正做事的人”),但大部分公司还是有大批游手好闲的人。往往只身前往伦敦开会的西方人会突然发现他面对着中方的30到40人,只好笑着说:“我很吃惊。”在中国的会议出席者众多,人们在会议室中无所顾忌地进进出出。核心的几个人会问一些关键性的问题,但很多西方人认为,即使是这些人也缺少决策权,甚至缺少做决策的热情。


宝座后面的力量

权力的不透明性还体现在中国公司那些有名无实的领导身上。一个老板就发现对方是个一言堂的家伙,周围都是侍从:“你能感觉到别人对他的敬畏心理,他讲话的时候从来没人插话。”还有一些人到中国后接触到一些有魅力的傀儡领导人,例如在中石化:“会议室中间有两把椅子,你和他分别坐在上面……你对着麦克风读一些准备好的稿件,然后所有人开始鼓掌……女孩子给你倒茶……大领导根本不讨论交易细节,只是祝福交易成功。”另一位公司高层人士说,一家电信设备华为的领导人“极为绅士”,他“完全依赖幕僚提供所有信息”。一家资源公司的老板说,五金矿产进出口总公司的领导人出现在现场仅仅是为了保持礼节。

那么,到底谁在做决定?有一个曾经在国外生活过的中层管理人员在主导与被收购公司高层领导之间的谈话。一个西方人说,中铝曾经启用一名40岁左右、可讲两种语言的大明星来参与多项交易,他“非常非常棒”。但是有一个例外,接受采访的人都认为,所有这一切都被这个国家所完全控制。“你可以感觉到,在中国,你是和政府交易。在印度,你是和公司交易。”

然而,这个国家并不像可预见到的铁板一块。经常会有多家中国公司盯上同一个目标的情形,他们在政府官员的支持下相互竞争,谋取西方公司的青睐。这个过程有时是相当混乱的。一位董事长说,他曾经与一家中国矿产公司就收购事宜商谈了几个月,对方也曾经派出数百人的参观团来实地考察,但最终还是没有成交,因为对方缺少政治支持因素。

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同样,那些在海外迅速扩张的中国政府控制的银行(见图2),也通常良莠不分地资助中国企业的海外并购行为。然而,上面提到的那位董事长回忆,有一次他去古巴,与国家发展银行的一名高层官员会面(显然这位官员的父亲与卡斯特罗有交情)。他得到了一个明确的信号,这笔交易陷入了困境。另一位高管说,在与电信设备制造商中兴通讯洽谈的一笔交易中,国家银行对此项目的资助难以得到官方的支持。他说,中兴的老板在中央没什么影响力。

一旦敲定了收购方,立即就会涌入大量的廉价现金。参与过力拓收购案的人回忆,在与中国的银行会面时,他被对方的非理智行为震惊了。“他们说:‘你要多少钱?10亿?20亿?’这简直难以置信。”比较令人满意的谈判对手通常都有一些修改收购条款的自由度,但是大问题还要请北京拿主意。在一家西方石油拍卖的过程中,这家公司的一位高管说,一家中国政府控制的能源企业甚至“到部长级别来要求提高报价”。

然而在关键时刻,这种精妙的等级制度会起到关键性的作用。一家石油企业的高管主持过一家公司的拍卖过程,最终的竞价方是一家印度公司和一家中国公司(二者均为国有企业)。他说,印度人“对业务实体没什么概念”,他们一直在纠缠细节。在最后阶段,印度人提交的合同草案中写满了修改意见,而中国人交回的合同只字未改。中国人赢了。

尽管中国公司如果想参与到国际竞标中需要跨越很多的障碍,但是他们一旦站到国际舞台上,所携的优势是无可匹敌的。他们有巨额的资金来源,他们根本不在乎对方公司的股价,因为它自己的大股东——政府已经表示了明确的态度。政客有时也会帮忙解决收购过程中出现的困难。哈萨克斯坦石油公司是一家加拿大公司,在中亚有巨额资产,一家俄罗斯公司盯上个这个目标。然而它最终被中国的中石油收购,因为中国主席胡锦涛到哈萨克斯坦首都阿斯塔纳进行了一次国事访问。

中国这套政府支持的运作体系也有缺陷。其中一点是外国政府对中国人的收购行为持越来越谨慎的态度,比如加拿大和澳大利亚,这两个国家在以前是世界上最开放的公司并购市场。另外一点相对比较微妙,这种决策模式会让中国公司花冤枉钱,还会难以整合新并购的企业。

一些高管认为那些来自中国的求爱者会机智地讨价还价,有一个运作过4宗矿产公司并购交易的人说,中国人和西方买家的水平不相上下。其它人并没有给予这么好的评价。想要达到收购一家公司的程度,中国企业需要聚集足够强大的实力。有些人说他们有时甚至会可以控制投资银行的行为。一位欧洲高管说:“他们无法控制局势的发展。出于为他们自己考虑,我希望将来他们可以在谈判方面做得更好一点。”

中国公司的收购企图如果失败,则要面临后续的政治风险。一位有出售公司经验的欧洲高管说,他们的使命感让他们在对方面前没有秘密可言,“他们无法承担收购失败的后果”。另一位欧洲老板说,他的中国求爱者想尽办法与西方股市抗争。他们彻底暴露了公司的内部条例,让自己犯下的错误尽人皆知。因此,中国买家更喜欢有单一大股东的并购对象,这样可以有人做双边游说的工作。然而,并购这类公司的成本极高,因为这属于稀缺资源。

中国支付的收购价格通常被认为是无足挂齿的,几十亿美元在庞大的发展背景下算什么呢?但即使是对富裕国家来说,有计划地超额收购国外资产也不是一个明智的举动。就像日本,在80年代和90年代初的并购狂欢结束之后,日本公司普遍削减了开支。
我爱你。顺便问一句,你怎么称呼?

整合收购公司与确定收购价格同样重要。一旦交易完成——一个来自中国的短消息确认出现了一个更高的出价者——接下来在被收购公司所在国要举行一个签字仪式,然后要在中国举办宴会,中央银行和政府官员悉数出席。更多的烈酒必不可少,一个宴会的幸存者说:“退席的时候你肯定是醉了。”被收购公司的老板通常被要求留在公司任职,薪水也不错,但大多是有名无实的职位。

那些接受采访的人基本都有被中国公司整合的经理,他们大部分认为开始的时候一切都很好。其中一个说:“他们做了充分的准备”,刚开始的切入点“很明智”,买方传达了“清晰、明确的信息”要保留所有员工。通常,被收购的公司会保留一些自主权,比如自身的法律身份和名称。只有一位来自北美公司的高管认为并购成功时的拥抱是虚伪的:中国人“在他离开办公室的当时”就接手了,“关键岗位马上就被替换掉”。他的一位同事并不同意,说中国人只不过在形式上接手了这家公司。

然而,随着时间的推移,公司的经营方向注定会发生改变。资源型公司会变成中国的资源俘虏,而不是把自己的产品在公开市场上销售。一家拉丁美洲矿产公司的高管回忆,两组地质学家之间曾经发生过激烈的争论,直到西方人意识到他们的新目标是产量最大化,而不是利润最大化,这场争论才平息。长远来看,中国公司的本性——使命感、整齐划一的行动、差异性和不透明性——会给公司整合带来麻烦。更加雪上加霜的是中国公司缺少熟悉海外工作环境和可以讲英文的管理人员。一位有过失败并购经历的人说:“机会是巨大的,问题也是巨大的。”

一位被中国公司收购的欧洲公司前老板说,他喜欢与新同事共事,但是由于缺少公开讨论,公司内部存在一些摩擦。“没有人挑战上级的决定,从来、从来都没有。决定是来自未知的空间。”由于计划都要提交到中国,而且往往被改得面目全非,很多工程师表示很“沮丧”。他说,中国公司管理外国公司存在着一定的困难,“这是一个多级化的社会”。另一位老员工拿“北京效应”开玩笑:“公司卖给他们之后我工作了一年,一直没搞清楚他们是怎么运作的。几乎所有的高管都已经离职,下层员工也在寻找(新工作)。”

并购整合的情形并非全部如此,但以上现象也绝非偶然。另一位被并购的欧洲公司前老板在谈到整合计划时说:“纸面上看来,计划很完美,但实施的时候却彻底失败了。”“即使最简单的问题”也需要几个月来做决定。他说:“几乎所有关键岗位的人员都已经离开,”总部大楼只剩下一个空壳。


中国道路

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即使如此,那又怎么样呢?西方的收购者毕竟也可能做出狠毒的举动,买家当然有权按自己的喜好行事。有几位矿产和石油公司的老板认为,有一个不错的现象正在出现:中国收购了公司和资产,而公司中的技术骨干流入人才市场,然后进入到其它新兴公司中。然而从中国的角度来看,无法留住人才的确是一个问题。技术和专家是公司价值的重要所在,当中国从纯粹挖掘人才的工作——这其实是中国的强项——转而进入到一个相对复杂的消费品产业中(更不用提创造性的产业),他们的确需要更好的管理能力。在这方面,来自其它新兴市场的公司,比如印度和巴西,在私有企业的资历和全球化的企业文化方面则具有更大的优势。历史最悠久的跨国公司,比如雀巢和联合利华,纷纷超越了国家的界限。

一种悲观的观点认为,中国不得不寻找其它“走出去”的方法,或许它被迫通过中国投资公司这家独立的财富基金来做出被动的等价投资。两家公司的高管证实,在公司的董事会议中,中国投资公司的代表在旁听。成立合资公司是另外一个选择,一家与中国合伙的石油公司老板说:“它的目的并不是收购”,双方的关系很和谐。

或者,中国公司可以通过收购以外的方式来发展。在80年代边境贸易蓬勃发展之前,大部分公司都是从零开始走向世界。中国公司的表现也不错。中远得到了经营部分希腊最大港口的特许权;中国的建筑公司获得了横跨非洲和东欧的建筑合同;华为也在没有大规模并购的前提下取得了长足的发展。

以此来看,人们其实很难相信中国的企业和政治家愿意绑住自己的一只手臂来与别人较量。尽管中国很多大公司与西方公司有极少的相似之处——众多的私人股东、与政府间独立的关系,但如果想要赢得大笔的跨国交易,他们必须逐渐向这个方向进化。这个月,中国一位高层官员的讲话中提到了政府在海外中国“私人”企业中的角色,当然是按惯例陈述中国政府没有公开的授意行为。为了回应其它国家对政治控制行为的担心,中国或许应当放松对大型国有企业的管控,还应当让自己的权力结构变得更加透明。

经济学家采访过的大部分高管都认为,目前在30多岁到40多岁的中国下一代领导人有更多的海外教育经历,他们将会比现在的领导班子更加有效率。在过去的二十年里,保守的领导人在锈迹斑斑的工业基础上创造出金光闪闪的产业巨人。如果这些公司在海外充分发挥了自己的潜力,那么他们的创造者或许自然而然地就会放松对它们的控制。

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 楼主| 发表于 2010-12-14 14:34 | 显示全部楼层
部分评论:


KewZee:

那些把公司出售给别人的老板们,安息吧。


CuriousCanadian:

“技术和专家是公司价值的重要所在,当中国从纯粹挖掘人才的工作——这其实是中国的强项——转而进入到一个相对复杂的消费品产业中(更不用提创造性的产业),他们的确需要更好的管理能力。”

这句话是整篇文章的亮点,中国投资者应当用心领会。其余都是东拼西凑的大杂烩,用来支持作者的观点。


BurkeanPluralist:

这是一篇少见的高质量、观点客观的文章。


Matvox:

好文章。但是我认为,我们应当更多地关注在澳大利亚和加拿大现在存在的那些针对中国并购行为的反抗情绪。这种反抗、憎恨、种族主义偏执,或者说真正出于国家安全的考虑(随便你怎么称呼),随着中国满世界抛洒金钱的行为,会变得越来越高涨。没有人喜欢一个超级大恶霸毫无约束地肆意妄为。即使没有中国因素,这种民族主义和保护主义的情绪就已经存在了(看看英国和欧盟对公司并购所制定的政策),加上中国因素,这种情绪无疑会高涨。实际上,我们只需要看一看今天G20峰会上,反对操作货币努力的巨大失败,就可以明白这都是真的。


nino01:

我在上海的一家美国跨国公司担任顾问职务已经6个月了,周围大部分是中国同僚。我要说,我不愿意与中国公司合伙做生意。

或许是因为我岁数比较大。每次你要讲到重点的时候,他们总是在微笑,这说明他们不喜欢被说教。中国人太世故了,他们不会直接说“不”,因此你要在会议中浪费很多时间。这是毫无效率的。

时间会说明一切……


Economator:

我要给那些即将出售自己企业的人一句忠告:一定要确保你得到了一些真正有价值的东西,而不是那些中国中央银行在美元彻底崩溃前试图卸下包袱的废纸币。


Iewgnem:

我感觉应当发表一些意见。中国并不把自己看作世界上的另一个国家,而是把自己当作世界文明的一部分,就像我们所说的西方文明一样。西方国家之间的跨国交易被认为是文明内部的沟通,交易双方都按照文明内定的规则行事。中国有着自己的体系和行事方式,他们在文明内部的举动往往都是大规模的。

所以我们现在讨论的并不是跨国交易,而是文明内部的交易,然而中国的交易与此两者均不同,比如法国公司和德国公司的交易是一个样,广东公司和江苏公司的交易是另一个样。西方公司在严苛规定的约束下冒险进入中国市场,那些无法接受这些规定的公司,以及不按规则出牌的公司没有得到什么业务机会。同样,中国公司进入西方市场也要遵守类似的规定。所以我认为问题在于西方世界是否有相应的规定来规范中国公司的行为,并因此而受益。当然它也可以简单地拒绝中国公司,独自把游戏玩下去。


Francashley:

做生意就像玩大富翁游戏,买下最好地块的人最终必定会胜出。

经济危机让西方公司很难拒绝收购意向,拒绝大笔金钱的诱惑似乎是傻瓜。但是,每个国家都要自己决定接受哪些外国投资、开放哪些产业供外国投资,以保证自己的政治独立性。

人们从上世纪的历史中了解到,在物质上征服世界的代价是“昂贵”的,而通过金融方式会更有效,遇到的阻挠也少很多。

顺便说一句,并购外国公司是获取技术优势的最快方法。


FonsTuinstra:

这的确是一篇精彩的文章。当然,这类文章无法涵盖所有内容,但仅在国有企业这一点上,它的论述还是不错的。大部分私人公司规模要小很多,在中国全球化过程中的贡献也没那么大。如果能看一看百度、阿里巴巴、腾讯等公司不同的行事方式,会是比较有趣的。


GraemeRoberts:

这是一篇有思想、有文笔的文章,其中提到的是一种相对崭新的现象——中国公司收购西方公司。

我鄙视那种建立在无知和偏见基础上肤浅的报道,那些文章的目的就是为了激起人们对“黄祸”的恐惧。这篇则不是,它具备了少有的公正的态度,甚至还暗示中国人的热情和友好,这是我喜欢看到的。当读到一个西方人坐在一个豪华的大椅子上,旁边是坐在同样椅子中的中国企业领导人,周围的四、五十人在他们讲话后礼貌地鼓掌时,我不由得笑了。1982年和1983年当我在中国时,也经历过同样的事情,那时候的交易合同没有现在这么多。

文章中提到的很多现象其实是中国习惯与西方人做生意,或者他们也同样感到恐惧和不确定的原因所导致的,而并不是他们对某种做法有病态的偏执的结果。这个国家封闭了很久,而且它毕竟还是共产主义国家。

如果你能时刻提醒自己,中国人、塞尔维亚人、拉脱维亚人、刚果人和叙利亚人也都是像你一样的人,这会对的态度转变有很大帮助。我们的相似之处,以及对利益的共同追求要比相互间的文化差异作用更明显。


BailoutNation:

真是一团糟。但愿中国买家在财务和估价方面比80年代的日本人和过去十年里的迪拜人要精明一些。难以捉摸的关系网一点都不令我吃惊,政客运作公司本来就是这样。中国真的需要把一些企业私有化,这可以让更多的交易成功。一旦政府成为你的银行,你的很多交易就缺少正确的动机。


bismarck111:

这篇文章就是一个引言拼凑的产物。要么说中国人很擅于迷惑对手,要么说中国公司之间的区别也很大。后者似乎更加真实。

私人公司当然与国有企业大不相同,如果能看一看双方的比较,那会比较有意思。


MikeChina:

这是以西方视角的描述,我感兴趣的是,中国的管理人对并购外国公司的过程和结果感想如何。


Chanshrink:

无论中国多么强大,美国和日本衰退的趋势多么明显,我依然可悲地发现中国的司法机关在监禁三聚氰胺奶粉的抗议人士上所扮演的傀儡角色。Chui Lin Hoi先生被监禁两年半的事实在任何文明社会中难道不是荒谬和难以接受的吗?

作为一个新兴力量,它的人权状况必须要改进,必须要得到全世界的尊重!


Watchingchina:

我简直不敢相信我竟然要评论这篇文章,在10天里,这是我第二次评论《经济学家》的文章。写得很好,没有偏见、固执和先入为主的意识形态。真的有一些一手的调查资料,完全开放的态度。很好。


Don:

在看这篇如行云流水般的文章时,我甚至怀疑自己是不是在读007的电影剧本。


Neumann Morgenstern:

与其画出外商直接投资的绝对金额图表,还不如展示一下领头国家与第二位国家,或者紧跟在后面的三个国家(目前是日本、中国和英国)所持有FDI的百分比。

很明显,美国的FDI份额一直在下降,主要是因为世界的普遍崛起(尤其是先前的“第三世界”国家)。

然而,从份额方面来看,美国在吸引FDI方面的霸主地位,与其竞争对手比较起来已经岌岌可危了。图表中并未显示出下降的趋势,他们更愿意找一些支持美国竞争力的强劲理由,尽管世界上很多国家都有能力接受FDI了。


bismarck111:

很有趣地发现一些亲华评论者说这是一篇观点公正、调查翔实的文章。我认为它的确比较公正,但调查不深入,也不大可信。坦率地说,文章中的有些内容就像出自《每日镜报》(译者注:以报道未经证实的八卦绯闻为主的英国报纸)。文章里有太多的这个说、那个说,而并为注明来源。

“一位令人惊艳的中国年轻女人出现在前台。一位高管说:‘她非常吸引人,手里拎着Gucci皮包。’她提交了一份来自中国石化——一家中国国有能源企业——价值数十亿美元的并购提案。”

“他们总是找来各种各样的人来把你灌醉……有一次我甚至肯定他们找来了一位总机话务员。”

“一位矿产公司的老板对他的翻译似乎产生了好感,但还是开玩笑说:‘她就是打入内部的间谍。’大部分公司高层都信任东道主,但也并非全部。一个欧洲人说:‘他们了解我的一切,我家里的电脑遭到了52次来自中国的攻击。’”

这纯粹就是恶毒的攻击。公平的观点不一定可信,对于有偏见的文章,不管它是支持还是反对什么,只要基于事实,就是可信的。


Thebigmac:

很好的文章。人们能从中领会到很多东西,而不像那些先入为主的、激发恐惧心理的文章。这样人们才能从这本杂志中了解到真实的中国。继续加油,经济学家!


Uncertain:

文章不错……但是如果能介绍一些小型私人公司的情况就更好了,他们如何行事,尤其是在无法得到政府廉价货币的情况下。


happyfish18:

在就业不景气的今天,在这样的公司工作要比排队领取失业救济金强多了。


Callithrix jacchus:

我在试图理解@iewgnem这位的评论,我理解得很痛苦,头痛欲裂。从哲学高度评论文明内和文明外的交互作用,以及对“超大规模”运作的结构所发生的作用?这到底是什么意思?你是托马斯•库恩吗(译者注:美国科学史家,科学哲学家)?

后面的话让我跌倒在地。“西方公司在严苛规定的约束下冒险进入中国市场,那些无法接受这些规定的公司,以及不按规则出牌的公司没有得到什么业务机会。同样,中国公司进入西方市场也要遵守类似的规定。所以我认为问题在于西方世界是否有相应的规定来规范中国公司的行为,并因此而受益。当然它也可以简单地拒绝中国公司,独自把游戏玩下去。”

我虚弱地从地上爬回椅子中,用颤抖的手给自己倒了一大杯威士忌,然后开始整理自己的思路。说真的,我们真要为这种文明的态度颤抖吗?即使它的铁拳上罩着文明的手套?

为什么我们总是要做这样的讨论?中国政府长篇大论的声明,以及邓大师隐晦的格言已经把这个问题讲烂了。我们能不能哪怕是暂时简单地说,这是生意,不是哲学?这不关文明什么事,目的就是利润,就是钱!就是要有效、高产地运作一个企业!就是要给股东带来收益(愿股东们的灵魂安息)!利润就是我们的先知。

赚钱的道理很简单,你投入1欧元,希望收回多于1欧元,越多越好。你可以引入文化差异(上帝,这个词让我的舌头痉挛)的概念,但是如果你不能按照国际规律运作好一家公司,文化不文化根本没区别。国际规律是什么?是责任感、盈利性和好的管理。你和你的股东们讲,你非常谨慎用心地管理他们的资本,他们可以从中如何收益。这足够了,其它都是放屁!

遗憾的是,中国政府在全球的收购行为带有强烈的民族使命意图。你根本不知道哪家中国公司是真正的私人企业,所以他们的所作所为就是为中国未来发展收集资源。

中国认为,自由、透明的全球经济是西方的阴谋,为了进入其中,它不得不祭出“文明”这个观点,并强加给自己,这完全它自身的和谐理论。会有效果吗?这是一个问题。我并不盲目拥护不受约束的资本主义体系,但是我知道,开放、责任感和透明、专业的管理方式是长久之计。在桌子底下把客人灌醉,以获取一些优势,这没问题。但是别忘了,不是所有的股东酒量都那么差。
所以,不要再长篇大论地扯淡了,我们能不能就把注意力放在收益上?这些并购行为到底和收益有什么关系?

文章其实并不坦率地谈到与中国公司做生意的困难。这些公司往往运作不透明,往往由党直接控制。你可以和客人拼酒量,但是那些把毕生积蓄投入到公司的股东们需要知道,你还是不是值得他继续投资的对象。你无法用文化差异来粉饰你的说词。


Devils:

Callithrix jacchus,你的评论真不少,我得花点时间搞清楚你到底想说什么。比如:“我虚弱地从地上爬回椅子中,用颤抖的手给自己倒了一大杯威士忌,然后开始整理自己的思路。”

“遗憾的是,中国政府在全球的收购行为带有强烈的民族使命意图。”

我记得曾经听到西方人在80年代对日本说过同样的话(当时用的词是“日企帝国”)。直到日本崩溃之后,他们才决定改口说日本其实是个遵守游戏规则的玩家。

你说的只反映了西方人的心态,不是中国人的心态。


Darian2:

中国有很多明显的理由超越美国:

1, 他们没有参与战争。
2, 他们没有在膨胀的军费预算中浪费钱。
3, 他们处死了腐败或者无能的CEO。
4, 他们仅支付奴隶的工资水平。
5, 他们充分利用没有国际贸易和劳动法律的优势。
6, 他们没有像言论自由那种相互制衡的权力分配制度,也没有对高管权力的限制,甚至没有立法僵局。
7, 他们对中国经济和谐局面认知一致。
8, 他们没有介入可能引火烧身的国际冲突。



Viktor O. Ledenyov:

中国在科学、经济和金融领域领跑全世界。

自由贸易是中国经济进步的主要动因。我们可以比较一下,一些被极权份子搞垮的城市,比如纽约、旧金山、底特律、洛杉矶、芝加哥、多伦多和中国的香港、北京、上海比较起来,就可以得出一个结论:美国总统巴拉克奥巴马是一个无能、糊涂的弱势“领袖”,他总是把自己的失败归咎于外部的敌人。


generated3967543:

中国是我的家乡,我自然对中国人的思维方式比较熟悉。

即使从中国人的角度来看,这篇文章也算公正。大家不明白的地方主要集中在文化的差异上,例如,说中国人绝不会说“不”。在某种程度上说,原因仅仅在于我们不想伤害别人的感情。或者这会浪费很多时间,也会让你觉得中国人不诚恳。但是,我们不能拒绝别人的请求和我们的文化融为一体。

这篇文章的评论和多方的观点让我决定也发表些想法。必须承认,党的垄断行为造成了很多严重的问题,我们做公民的意识到的确需要一些反对的声音。我相信你在未来某天会接受中国的。

我爱我的家,但是我不爱独裁。


Jaggie:

“嗨Brain,晚上想干点什么?”

“还能干什么,继续统治世界呗。”

如果有谁还没看出来中国的最终目标是要统治全球的自然资源,那么他可真是幼稚到家了。你不需要成为大拿或者理论家才能发现这个意图。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-12-14 14:38 | 显示全部楼层
原文:

A FEW years ago two executives of an international oil company were working late in its otherwise deserted office in England. A stunning young Chinese woman arrived at reception. “She was very attractive, decked out in Gucci,” one of them says. She delivered a letter from Sinopec, one of China’s giant, state-controlled energy firms, proposing a multibillion-dollar takeover. The executive adds, a little wistfully, that she then disappeared into the night in a car with local licence plates, never to be seen again.

His firm was soon bought by another Chinese company. Since then Western bosses have been tapped by Chinese firms at conferences in Toronto and Cape Town and received walk-in offers in Scandinavia. Companies across Europe have solicited Chinese investment. Bankers all over the world have touted lists of Western takeover candidates among China’s big firms. This year buyers based in China and Hong Kong have accounted for a tenth of global deals by value, including investments in oil and landmark takeovers in industry, such as Geely’s purchase of Volvo, a Swedish carmaker. A decade ago China urged its companies to expand under the slogan “go out”. Now it is really happening.

The first fiery breaths

More deals are inevitable, given China’s rise. Control of the world’s stock of foreign direct investment (FDI), which includes takeovers and companies’ greenfield investments, tends to reflect a country’s economic muscle. Britain owned 45% of the world’s FDI in 1914; America’s share peaked at 50% in 1967. Today China, including Hong Kong and Macau, has a share of just 6% (see chart 1). Listed Chinese firms, which are largely state-controlled, are already some of the world’s biggest, and account for over a tenth of global stockmarket value. Most are still mainly domestic outfits.

China’s high savings will also spur deals. Companies often have surplus cash and banks surplus deposits. Today those savings are recycled into rich countries via sovereign-wealth funds and the central bank, which act as portfolio investors, buying mainly bonds. But China may and probably should diversify. That shift will be accelerated by China’s political aims: to acquire inputs, such as raw materials, labour and land; to build up technical and commercial expertise; and to gain access to foreign markets.

Public announcements of such deals are something of a charade. Wooden Chinese executives insist they are acting on purely commercial grounds. Western bosses hail a new era of co-operation. Yet these transactions are tricky partly because of cultural differences and partly because of the role of the Chinese state. There have been fiascos. In 2005 CNOOC, a Chinese oil firm, withdrew a bid for Unocal, a Californian producer, after American politicians kicked up a stink. In 2009 Rio Tinto, an Anglo-Australian mining firm, withdrew from a deal to sell a series of minority stakes to Chinalco, a Chinese metals firm. Rio’s shareholders opposed the sale but many reckon that the Australian government did, too.

The Economist has interviewed, anonymously, executives past and present at 11 Western companies that have been bought by or have sold stakes to Chinese firms, or have been in negotiations to do so. Ten of the deals discussed were worth more than $1 billion. What these people say provides an insight into both China’s capacity to expand its companies abroad and the opaque workings of its state-backed firms. The impression they give is a mixture of awe at China’s ambition and technical skill and a far more qualified assessment of Chinese companies’ ability to run international businesses.

The meat of the negotiation often has two parts: marathon sessions at an investment bank’s offices, often in London, and visits by target firms’ executives to mainland China or Hong Kong. There they may be expected to make epic PowerPoint presentations to giant audiences, and to attend banquets and intimate discussions, often in hotels owned by the bidder.

Most visitors are impressed by Chinese firms’ technical nous. Both sides try to make friends: “Emotion and trust matter,” says a Briton, because authority within Chinese firms is opaque and arbitrary. Chinese negotiators often use booze to break down barriers—and to try to get the upper hand. This is a well-known tactic, says a European of hazy days he spent in a hotel dealing with the fine print. “They would bring in people to try to get you drunk…At one point I was sure they’d brought in a lady from the switchboard.”

Most targets of Chinese takeovers need an interpreter. It pays to be wary. The head of a mining firm grew fond of his, but jokes, “She was clearly an internal spy.” Most executives say they trusted their hosts. But not all. A European says, “They knew everything about me,” and adds, “I had 52 hits from China on my home computer.” Another boss negotiating a controversial natural-resources deal found the atmosphere sinister. “You had to take your battery out of your mobile phone. You were told the rooms were bugged.”

Chinese companies’ power structure is a bit of a mystery to outsiders, even the handful of Westerners on the boards of big state-backed companies. A popular theory is that they are controlled by a parallel hierarchy of Communist Party officials. The most senior party man in a firm, the general secretary, is not necessarily the most senior executive. Although one Western executive says this distinction was evident (“There were party people and people who did stuff”), most are just overwhelmed by the volume of bodies. One arrived, alone, in London to be faced with 30-40 people from the Chinese side. “I was shocked,” he laughs. Meetings in China can be attended by vast audiences, with people coming in and out continually. A core of people ask good questions, but even they, many visitors say, seem to lack the authority, or desire, to make decisions.

Power behind the chair

The opacity of power is also reflected by the role of the titular heads of Chinese firms. One boss found his counterpart to be an autocrat, surrounded by minions: “You feel the deference towards this guy. There are no interjections when he speaks.” Yet most visitors to China talk of charming figureheads, for example at Sinopec: “There are two chairs in the middle where you and he sit…You say prepared remarks into the microphone and then everybody claps…Girls serve tea…The big chief doesn’t negotiate. He just blesses the deal.” Another executive says the head of Huawei, a telecoms-equipment firm, was “a great gentleman” who “relied on his lieutenants for information”. A natural-resources boss says the head of Minmetals, a big Chinese mining firm, was just there “to keep protocol”.

Who, then, calls the shots? A lieutenant who has lived outside China may lead the talks with the target’s top brass. Chinalco, says a Westerner, has used the same 40-something bilingual hotshot on several deals: he was “very, very good”. But with one exception, those interviewed thought the state was in ultimate control. “You can feel it,” says one. “In China you’re dealing with the government,” says another. “In India you’re dealing with companies.”

However, the state is far from being a predictable monolith. Often, more than one Chinese firm has sniffed out the same target. They compete for the Western firm’s affections and “preferred bidder” status with officials back home. The process can be chaotic. A chairman says he negotiated for months with a Chinese mining firm, including site visits by hundreds of their staff, only to see the deal collapse because it lacked political consent.

Likewise, China’s government-controlled banks, which have been expanding abroad (see chart 2), are often described as indiscriminate financiers of China’s overseas conquests. Yet the same chairman recalls going to Cuba to meet a senior official of China Development Bank (whose father had, apparently, been an acquaintance of Fidel Castro’s) and receiving a clear signal that a deal was in doubt. Another executive says a deal with ZTE, a maker of telecoms equipment, that included state-bank financing struggled to win official approval. ZTE’s bosses, he says, held little sway with the central government.

Once a preferred bidder has been picked, however, there can be a flood of cheap cash. Someone involved in the Rio deal recalls meeting a bank in China and being staggered by their indiscipline. “They said, ‘How much do you want: $10 billion, $20 billion?’ It was unbelievable.” The preferred firm’s negotiators often have some latitude to alter the terms of a deal, but refer big decisions to Beijing. During the auction of a Western oil company, a Chinese state-controlled energy firm “went back to the ministerial level to raise its bid”, says an executive of the target.

At key moments, though, this apparently fiddly hierarchy can be decisive. One oil executive ran an auction of a firm that ended with an Indian and a Chinese bidder (both were state-controlled). The Indians had “no concept of materiality”, he says, and were mired in nit-picking. In the final stages they returned the draft contract riddled with amendments. The Chinese firm returned it clean, and won.
Although to set up a foreign bid a Chinese firm has to jump through lots of hoops, once it has done so it enjoys formidable advantages. It has access to cheap finance. It can ignore its share price, since its majority shareholder, the government, is onside. Politicians may also work to smooth the waters. PetroKazakhstan, a Canadian firm with assets in Central Asia, was coveted by a Russian company. Its takeover by CNPC of China was eased by a state visit by the president, Hu Jintao, to Astana, the Kazakh capital.

China’s state-backed system also has disadvantages. One is that foreign governments are becoming increasingly wary of Chinese takeovers. These include those of Canada and Australia, previously two of the most open markets for corporate control in the world. Another is more subtle: that the style of decision-making can lead Chinese companies to overpay and to struggle to integrate their purchases.

Some executives felt that their Chinese suitors had bargained astutely. Someone who has sold four mining firms says the Chinese compared well with Western buyers. Others are less complimentary. To get to the point of executing a takeover, a Chinese company must build up a huge head of steam. Some say they struggle to rein in their investment bankers. “They lost control of the situation,” says a European chief executive. In future, “I hope for their sake that they do a better job at negotiating.”

Chinese firms also risk political fallout if they fail. Their sense of mission makes them “transparent”, says one European executive of his experience selling a firm. “They cannot take the chance to lose the deal.” Another European boss says his Chinese suitor struggled to deal with Western stockmarkets. Their disclosure rules mean slip-ups are made public, and disparate institutional investors are unpredictable. As a result Chinese buyers prefer targets with a single big shareholder who can negotiate bilaterally. However, buying such firms can be costly because they command a scarcity premium.

The price China pays is often dismissed as inconsequential: what are a few billion in the grand scheme of things? But even for rich countries, systematically overpaying for foreign assets is a bad idea. After a binge in the late 1980s and early 1990s, Japanese firms retrenched.

I love you. Tell me your name

Integrating an acquisition is just as important as price. Once the deal is done—a text message from China confirming a higher offer is not unknown—there may be a signing ceremony in the target firm’s country and then a banquet in China, attended by central bankers and government ministers. More grog is compulsory. “You will leave the dinner completely drunk,” says a survivor. The bought firm’s bosses may be asked to linger in well-paid but largely symbolic roles.

Those interviewees who experienced Chinese firms’ integration efforts mostly reckon they began well. “They had done their homework,” says one. Their approach was “very clever” at first, recalls another. The buyer’s message that it would keep all staff “was extremely simple and well received”, he says. Usually the acquired company keeps some autonomy, with its own legal status and name. Only one executive, at a North American firm, felt this initial group hug was insincere: the Chinese took over “the day I walked out of the building…Critical positions were replaced instantly.” An ex-colleague disagrees, saying the Chinese just took firm control.

Over time, though, business plans change. Natural-resources firms can become captive suppliers to China, rather than selling on the open market. An executive of a Latin American mining company recalls a blazing row between the two groups of geologists which was resolved when the Westerners realised their new objective was to maximise production, not profits. In the longer term the DNA of Chinese corporations—a sense of mission, consensus, deference and opacity—can cause difficulties. These can be compounded by a dearth of English-speaking managers familiar with working outside China. An architect of a failed deal says, “There would have been some great opportunities—and some really big problems.”

The former boss of a European firm now owned by a Chinese giant says he liked his new colleagues but adds that the lack of open discussion caused friction. “Nobody contests what their immediate superior says. Never, never, never…The decisions are taken somewhere else.” The firm’s engineers became “frustrated” as plans were sent to China and amended. It is difficult for Chinese firms to run foreign ones, he says: “It is a very stratified society.” Another veteran of the same firm jokes about the “Beijing effect” and says that “having sold a business to them and worked for them for a year I don’t really have a clue how they work.” He adds: “Virtually all of the senior management have left and at the next level down people are looking [for new jobs].”

This isn’t true of all deals, but nor is it unique. The former boss of another European acquisition says of the integration plan: “On paper it looked quite good but it failed totally.” Decisions took months for “even the simplest things”. He says that “almost all the key people left” and adds that “there is no company left” at the headquarters, just a shell.

The Chinese way

Does any of this matter? After all, Western takeovers can be brutal, too, and a buyer is by and large entitled to do as it pleases. Several mining and oil bosses also argue that a healthy process is at work, in which China buys firms and the capital and skilled people thus released are recycled into new start-up companies. Yet from Chinese firms’ perspective an inability to retain staff is a problem. Technical and local expertise accounts for much of a company’s value. And as China moves beyond digging stuff out of the ground—at which it is fairly adept—to more complex consumer industries, let alone creative ones, better management will be essential. In this, companies from other emerging markets, such as India and Brazil, have the advantage of private-sector credentials and more cosmopolitan cultures. The most durable multinational firms, such as Nestlé or Unilever, often transcend nationality.

A pessimistic view is that China will have to find other ways of “going out”. It could make passive equity investments through China Investment Corporation, a sovereign-wealth fund. Executives from two firms attest that its representatives take a back seat at board meetings. Joint ventures are another option. The boss of an oil firm with a Chinese partner says that “its motivation is not to take control” and that the relationship is harmonious.

Alternatively, Chinese companies could grow without buying. Until the wave of cross-border deals in the 1980s most firms went global by building operations from the ground up. Chinese firms are becoming good at this. One of them, COSCO, has a concession to run part of Greece’s biggest port. Chinese construction firms have won contracts across Africa and eastern Europe. Huawei has developed without making large acquisitions.

For all that, it is hard to believe that China’s companies and politicians want to operate with one arm tied behind their backs. And although many of the country’s big firms may never resemble Western ones, with diffuse private shareholders and independence from the state, they may have to edge more towards this template in order to succeed at large cross-border deals. In a speech this month a senior Chinese official emphasised the role abroad of China’s “private” firms, which typically have less overt state direction. To address other countries’ concerns about political control, China may also have to loosen its hold on its giant state-owned companies and ensure that their power structure is more transparent.

Most of the executives interviewed by The Economist also felt that the next generation of Chinese executives, in their 30s and 40s today, with more international education and experience, would prove far more effective than the present cohort of chiefs. Over the past two decades the old guard has taken a rusting industrial base and from it made gleaming corporate giants. Yet if those firms are to achieve their full potential abroad their creators may have to relax their grip.

KewZee wrote: Nov 11th 2010 7:15 GMT .


To the executives who had their companies bought, may they Vest In Peace.

CuriousCanadian wrote: Nov 12th 2010 1:37 GMT .

"Technical and local expertise accounts for much of a company’s value. And as China moves beyond digging stuff out of the ground—at which it is fairly adept—to more complex consumer industries, let alone creative ones, better management will be essential."

This is the best point made in the entire article, and one which should be taken to heart by Chinese investors. The rest is a hodge-podge of quotes arranged to support the authors beliefs.

BurkeanPluralist wrote: Nov 12th 2010 6:50 GMT .

This was an unusually high quality and balanced article.

matvox wrote: Nov 12th 2010 2:17 GMT .

An excellent article, but I think more attention should have been paid to the acknowledged back-lash now occurring in Australia and Canada towards Chinese acquirers. This backlash, resentment, racist paranoia or real national security concerns, call it what you will, is something that will grow as the Chinese continue to throw their money around. No one likes a big bully who can toss his weight around without constraint. It is inevitable that nationalism and protectionism, which are already occurring now without the influence of China (see the UK and the EU's reviews of acquisition policies), will rise. Indeed, one need look no further than today's colossal failure at the G-20 to resist counter-productive currency manipulation issues to see that this is true.

nino01 wrote: Nov 12th 2010 9:44 GMT .

Having worked in Shanghai for six months as a consultant in an Ameriban Multinational , with a majority of Chinese executives I would not like to partner with Chinese companies.

Perhaps I am too old now, but their tendency to smile all the time you are trying to get your point, indicates that do no want to be lectured. Chinese are too sophisticated to tell you "no", and therefore you waste a lot of time in meetings. Is not efficient and I wonder about the efficay of the process.

Time will tell...

economator wrote: Nov 13th 2010 6:18 GMT .

My comment to would be sellers is to make sure that you are paid in something with some inherent worth and not fists full of fiat dollars that the Chinese central bank is trying to offload before the dollars imminent collapse.

iewgnem wrote: Nov 13th 2010 8:36 GMT .

I think some perspective would help here, China do not sees itself as another country in the world but more as a civilization, on the same level as what we would call western civilization. International deals between western nations are intra-civilization deals, and they proceed according to rules established for that civilization. China on the other hand has its own structure and way of doing things that operates on a vast scale within the civilization.

What we are look at here not international deals but inter-civilization deals, and as such they are different to both, say, deals between a Franch and German company, and deals a Guangdong and Jiangsu company. Western firms venture into China under conditions of heavy regulation, those who do not accept them, or do not play by the civilization's rules, have no chance. Chinese ventures into the west follows the same principle, and I believe the question here is more whether western civilization will regulate and profit from these ventures, or reject them and operate in isolation.

Francashley wrote: Nov 13th 2010 12:56 GMT .

Doing businesses just like playing Monopoly. The one who buys the right properties will sooner or later take over all.

However, the economical townturn caused the west unable to resist the deals. With the huge monetary consideration, it sounds stupid not to be taken over. However, only the countries themselves can safeguard their political independence by accepting the right foreign investors and the industries to be invested in.

People learned from the histories of last century that it is "costly" to conquer the world physically. It may be much more effective with less "rejection" in the financial way.

By the way, taking over foreign businesses is one of the fastest ways to obtain technical advance.

FonsTuinstra wrote: Nov 13th 2010 3:03 GMT .

An excellent articles indeed. Of course, those articles cannot cover everything and it makes sense it concentrated on state-owned companies. Private companies have mostly been smaller and have not played a big role in China's efforts of going global. It would be interesting to see if companies like Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent would act differently, compared to their state-owned brethren.

GraemeRoberts wrote: Nov 13th 2010 5:11 GMT .

A thoughtful, well-written article about the relatively new phenomenon of Chinese companies buying companies in the West.

I despise shallow reporting, based on ignorance and prejudice, that tries to stir up fear of the "yellow peril". This does not. It is quite balanced, and even hints at the warmth and kindness of Chinese people, which I have always loved. I laughed at the description of one Westerner sitting in a very large overstuffed armchair next to the head of the Chinese enterprise in a similar chair, while forty or fifty employees sit around them to applaud politely at their statements. I experienced the same thing in China in 1982 and 1983, when contacts were less frequent.

Many of the situations they describe are more a result of Chinese people getting used to doing business with Westerners, and feeling equally scared and uncertain, than any profound preference for a particular approach. The country was closed for a long time, and it is still a communist state.

It helps so much if you can remember that Chinese, Serbian, Latvian, Congolese, and Syrian people are human, just like you! Our similarities and common interests are always profoundly more important than cultural differences.

BailoutNation wrote: Nov 13th 2010 5:14 GMT .

Sounds quite chaotic. Hopefully the Chinese buyers are a bit more sophisticated in finance and valuation than their Japanese counterpart in the 80's, or Dubai in the last decade. The murky relationship doesn't surprise me, this is what happens when politicians run companies. China really needs to privatize their corporations to ensure these deals are really viable. When you have the government as your bank, most deals will not be done for the right reasons.

bismarck111 wrote: Nov 13th 2010 11:55 GMT .

The article was justa serious of quotes. Either the Chinese are very good at confusing people or that each Chinese companies is run very differently from each other. The later is more likely to be true.

Privately run Chnese companies, of course are run very differently from state owned companies. It would be interesting to find out how privately run Chinese companies stack up.

MikeChina wrote: Nov 14th 2010 12:04 GMT .

This article dealt with the Western perspective, but it would be interesting to know how the Chinese management felt about the process and results of taking over foreign firms.

chanshrink wrote: Nov 14th 2010 12:24 GMT .


No matter how strong China or inevitably declining US/Japan are going to be, it is pathetic to find that today the judiciary of China acting as a muppet show to jail the Malaminine Milk sales protestor, Mr. Chui Lin Hoi imprisonment for 2 and 1/2 years term is totally rediculous and unacceptable in any civilised standardpoint!?

Human right to their people must be improved to earn the respect of the world as emerging power!

watchingchina wrote: Nov 14th 2010 3:44 GMT .

I can't believe I'm writing this, but this is the second time in only ten days that I want to compliment the Economist on a fine and balanced article, free of bias, bigotry, ideology. And somebody actually did some research too, and with an open mind. Well done.
Don wrote: Nov 14th 2010 11:25 GMT .

While reading the well written, I kept wondering whether I was not reading a plot for a James Bond movie

Neumann Morgenstern wrote: Nov 14th 2010 5:05 GMT .

Rather than plotting the absolute share of FDI, a more interesting chart would contain a plot of the ratio of FDI held by the leading nation relative to either: a. the second-place nation, or, b. a basket average of the next three highest nations (e.g., currently, Japan, China, and the UK).

Clearly, the overall share of FDI held by the United States is falling--this being a direct result of the overall 'rise' of the rest of the world (particularly the formerly named 'third world').

However, from a ratio perspective, it would seem that the US' dominance in attracting FDI relative to its peer competitors is relatively untarnished. Far from the charts showing a story of decline, they would rather suggest a relatively robust defense of the US' competitive position, albeit in a world where many new countries are available to receive FDI.

bismarck111 wrote: Nov 14th 2010 9:37 GMT .

Its interesting that the some of the pro-Chinese commentators say this is balanced and well researched. I say its balanced, but not particularly researched or credible. Frankly its as poorly done as something that comes out of the Daily Mirror. There is a lot of he/she said without giving any sources.

"A stunning young Chinese woman arrived at reception. “She was very attractive, decked out in Gucci,” one of them says. She delivered a letter from Sinopec, one of China’s giant, state-controlled energy firms, proposing a multibillion-dollar takeover"

"They would bring in people to try to get you drunk…At one point I was sure they’d brought in a lady from the switchboard.”

“She was clearly an internal spy.” Most executives say they trusted their hosts. But not all. A European says, “They knew everything about me,” and adds, “I had 52 hits from China on my home computer.”

Its a hatchet job really. Balanced does not mean credible. A biased piece whether for/against can be credible if facts are used.
Thebigmac wrote: Nov 15th 2010 2:37 GMT .

Excellent article – one can actually learn something real from it instead of the usual ideological fear mongering stuff which is typically what you get from a China topic by this magazine. Keep up with the good work, Economist!

uncertain wrote: Nov 15th 2010 4:51 GMT .

Great article...but it may be even better to discuss a little bit more about private Chinese companies' activities, particularly about smaller ones without cheap money from government.

happyfish18 wrote: Nov 16th 2010 3:40 GMT .

In these days of jobless recovery, a job in these companies is probably worth more than queueing up for a unemployment cheque.

Callithrix jacchus wrote: Nov 16th 2010 8:28 GMT .

I am trying to understand the comments by @iewgnem (Nov 13th 2010 8:36 GMT). It is an awful struggle and it is giving me a headache. Lofty and philosophical, commenting on inter- and intra-civilizational drifts, about new structures that operate within their own "vast civilizational scales", whatever that may mean. Is @iewgnem Thomas Kuhn perhaps?

I was particularly floored by the following: "Western firms venture into China under conditions of heavy regulation, those who do not accept them, or do not play by the civilization's rules, have no chance. Chinese ventures into the west follows the same principle, and I believe the question here is more whether western civilization will regulate and profit from these ventures, or reject them and operate in isolation."

Weakly, I raised myself up from the floor onto the chair from which I had been smitten and hurled, and reached with trembling hand for my decanter of Single Malt. I poured myself a generous drink and collected my thoughts. Surely, we must quake at such a civilizational overture, proffered with an iron fist, covered in a civilized glove?

Why are we constantly taken in by this kind of talk? Ponderous pronouncements from the Chinese government say this kind of thing all the time, or offer cryptic aphorisms from Mahatma Deng. Would it be too much to say, tentatively muttered, that it is only business and not philosophy? It is not about civilization? It is about cash and profit. About running a business efficiently and productively. About bringing profit to Shareholders (peace be upon their souls). Profit is our prophet.

There are simple rules in making money. You put in a Euro and you expect to get more than a Euro. As much as you can. You can drag in civilizational difference (Lord! That phrase does twist my tongue) but it will not make an ounce of difference if you can't run a company according to global standards. And what are these standards? They are accountability, profitability, and sound management. You tell your stockholders how you have prudently managed their capital and how much they have got out of it. The rest is just balls.

Sadly, the Chinese government pursues business in a nationalistic vein. You can never know which Chinese company is actually a private enterprise (10% or less, as reported in these columns). So it is all about garnering resources for the future of China.  

China views the functioning of a free and transparent global economy as a Western conspiracy into which it must bring it's "civilizational viewpoint", and force onto it, its own harmonious point of view. Will it work? That is the question. I am no lover of unbridled capitalism, but I do know that openness, accountability, and a transparent and professional style of management go a long way in checking the worst excesses of the system. Drinking your corporate guests under the table, to gain an advantage, is fine. Just don't forget that not all the shareholders are drunk.

So, instead of baroque prose, can we just stick to profit? And how exactly do these takeovers propose to bring this nasty thing about?

The article talks, rather frankly, about the difficulties of doing business with Chinese firms. These firms are more often than not opaque in their functioning, and more often than not controlled directly by the party. Plying drinks to your guest is alright. But people who invest their lifetime earnings need to know whether it will continue to remain a wise investment. And you cannot mask it over with civilizational differences.

Devils Advocate_1 wrote: Nov 16th 2010 11:38 GMT .

[Callithrix jacchus wrote:

What a long post and it is time consuming to sort out what the points you intend to make! And I have tried just as hard: "Weakly, I raised myself up from the floor onto the chair from which I had been smitten and hurled, and reached with trembling hand for my decanter of Single Malt. I poured myself a generous drink and collected my thoughts."

"Sadly, the Chinese government pursues business in a nationalistic vein."

I remember having heard westerners saying similar things about Japan in the 1980's (The term used was "corporate Japan"?)-- Until Japan toppled over. Then they decided that the Japanese played the game just as fairly as they did after all.

What you have said reflects more about mentality of the westerners than that of the Chinese.

Darian2 wrote: Nov 18th 2010 8:12 GMT .

China is ahead of the U.S. for many obvious reasons:

1. They don't get involved in wars.
2. They don't waste their money on a bloated defense budget.
3. They kill their CEO's when "caught" being corrupt or inept.
4. They pay slave wages.
5. They take advantage of no international laws on trade or labor.
6. They have no checks and balances like a free press, limits on executive power, or legislative stalemates.
7. They have no problems about Chinese economic hegemony.
8. They are non-involved in nationalistic conflicts so as to allow the warring factions to destroy themselves.


Viktor O. Ledenyov wrote: Nov 19th 2010 9:29 GMT .

P. R. China is a global leader in science, economy and finances.

Free trade is a main moving force behind the Chinese economic achievements. We can compare the totalitarian collapsing cities like the City of New York, San Francisco, Detroit, LA, Chicago, Toronto in the USA and Canada with developing innovative Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai in P.R.China, and come up to the conclusion that the US President Barack Obama is an incapable perplexed weak "leader," who tries to explain his own failures as a result of actions by external enemies.

generated3967543 wrote: Nov 20th 2010 4:00 GMT .

China is my hometown, surely the way of Chinese thinking is familiar to me.

This artical is balanced, even from a Chinese viewpoint. Vast confusion are based on the culture difference. For an exemple, saying that it is impossible for Chinese people to say "no", to a certain degree, just for the simplest account that we do not want to hurt others. Maybe it wastes a lot of time and maybe it makes you think we Chinese are insincere, however, that we cannot decline others' request has blended into our blood, which becomes a part of our culture.

The appreciation of this article and balanced comments drives me write this. Admittedly, party monopoly has caused many critical problems, and we citizens had realized the oppositional voice to it is reasonable. And I believe China will be accepted by you...someday.

I love my hometown, but not the autocrat of my hometown.

Jaggie wrote: Nov 25th 2010 12:18 GMT .

"What are we going to do tonight Brain?"

"Same thing we do every night Pinky, try to take over the world!"

If anyone cannot see that China's collective mission is to secure all the natural resources of the world - in some way or the other - then they really are naive. One doesn't have to be a loon or a conspiracy theorist to see what their intentions are...
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发表于 2010-12-14 15:54 | 显示全部楼层
China's collective mission is to secure all the natural resources of the world
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发表于 2010-12-14 17:30 | 显示全部楼层
辛苦。
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发表于 2010-12-14 17:37 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 孜心 于 2010-12-14 17:42 编辑

谢谢。很不错的一篇文章,希望那些有决定权的上位者们看到。当然,这并不是说我同意这篇文章里的所有观点。
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发表于 2010-12-14 18:47 | 显示全部楼层
顶楼主,巨量的工作啊,辛苦了。
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发表于 2010-12-14 21:03 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 rongjingji 于 2010-12-14 21:12 编辑

从回复
可以看出
西方人智力水平有限
这是一个野蛮的文明
靠运气和掠夺幸运成长起来的
未来不属于白狒狒
西方不需要上面除了generated3967543的任何评论
这个人才是大隐患,被洗脑后的认知水平会普遍接近与当地愚人
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发表于 2010-12-14 21:07 | 显示全部楼层
的确能在收购过程中发现我们的问题:运作质量不高,这是不容回避的事实。

我们国家的确存在这样的问题,这是一个挑战,同时也是一个机遇。前景既令人面临未知挑战的不安,但更有着令人兴奋新机遇新发展。

一位被中国公司收购的欧洲公司前老板说,他喜欢与新同事共事,但是由于缺少公开讨论,公司内部存在一些摩擦。

“没有人挑战上级的决定,从来、从来都没有。决定是来自未知的空间。”由于计划都要提交到中国,而且往往被改得面目全非,很多工程师表示很“沮丧”。

他说,中国公司管理外国公司存在着一定的困难,“这是一个多级化的社会”。

另一位老员工拿“北京效应”开玩笑:“公司卖给他们之后我工作了一年,一直没搞清楚他们是怎么运作的。几乎所有的高管都已经离职,下层员工也在寻找(新工作)。”

并购整合的情形并非全部如此,但以上现象也绝非偶然。另一位被并购的欧洲公司前老板在谈到整合计划时说:“纸面上看来,计划很完美,但实施的时候却彻底失败了。”“即使最简单的问题”也需要几个月来做决定。他说:“几乎所有关键岗位的人员都已经离开,”总部大楼只剩下一个空壳。

有几位矿产和石油公司的老板认为,有一个不错的现象正在出现:中国收购了公司和资产,而公司中的技术骨干流入人才市场,然后进入到其它新兴公司中。

然而从中国的角度来看,无法留住人才的确是一个问题。技术和专家是公司价值的重要所在,当中国从纯粹挖掘人才的工作——这其实是中国的强项——转而进入到一个相对复杂的消费品产业中(更不用提创造性的产业),他们的确需要更好的管理能力。

在这方面,来自其它新兴市场的公司,比如印度和巴西,在私有企业的资历和全球化的企业文化方面则具有更大的优势。历史最悠久的跨国公司,比如雀巢和联合利华,纷纷超越了国家的界限。
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发表于 2010-12-14 21:46 | 显示全部楼层
很赞下边这个家伙的回复,也感谢楼主的辛苦,翻译的非常棒!

Callithrix jacchus:

我在试图理解@iewgnem这位的评论,我理解得很痛苦,头痛欲裂。从哲学高度评论文明内和文明外的交互作用,以及对“超大规模”运作的结构所发生的作用?这到底是什么意思?你是托马斯•库恩吗(译者注:美国科学史家,科学哲学家)?

后面的话让我跌倒在地。“西方公司在严苛规定的约束下冒险进入中国市场,那些无法接受这些规定的公司,以及不按规则出牌的公司没有得到什么业务机会。同样,中国公司进入西方市场也要遵守类似的规定。所以我认为问题在于西方世界是否有相应的规定来规范中国公司的行为,并因此而受益。当然它也可以简单地拒绝中国公司,独自把游戏玩下去。”

我虚弱地从地上爬回椅子中,用颤抖的手给自己倒了一大杯威士忌,然后开始整理自己的思路。说真的,我们真要为这种文明的态度颤抖吗?即使它的铁拳上罩着文明的手套?

为什么我们总是要做这样的讨论?中国政府长篇大论的声明,以及邓大师隐晦的格言已经把这个问题讲烂了。我们能不能哪怕是暂时简单地说,这是生意,不是哲学?这不关文明什么事,目的就是利润,就是钱!就是要有效、高产地运作一个企业!就是要给股东带来收益(愿股东们的灵魂安息)!利润就是我们的先知。

赚钱的道理很简单,你投入1欧元,希望收回多于1欧元,越多越好。你可以引入文化差异(上帝,这个词让我的舌头痉挛)的概念,但是如果你不能按照国际规律运作好一家公司,文化不文化根本没区别。国际规律是什么?是责任感、盈利性和好的管理。你和你的股东们讲,你非常谨慎用心地管理他们的资本,他们可以从中如何收益。这足够了,其它都是放屁!

遗憾的是,中国政府在全球的收购行为带有强烈的民族使命意图。你根本不知道哪家中国公司是真正的私人企业,所以他们的所作所为就是为中国未来发展收集资源。

中国认为,自由、透明的全球经济是西方的阴谋,为了进入其中,它不得不祭出“文明”这个观点,并强加给自己,这完全它自身的和谐理论。会有效果吗?这是一个问题。我并不盲目拥护不受约束的资本主义体系,但是我知道,开放、责任感和透明、专业的管理方式是长久之计。在桌子底下把客人灌醉,以获取一些优势,这没问题。但是别忘了,不是所有的股东酒量都那么差。
所以,不要再长篇大论地扯淡了,我们能不能就把注意力放在收益上?这些并购行为到底和收益有什么关系?

文章其实并不坦率地谈到与中国公司做生意的困难。这些公司往往运作不透明,往往由党直接控制。你可以和客人拼酒量,但是那些把毕生积蓄投入到公司的股东们需要知道,你还是不是值得他继续投资的对象。你无法用文化差异来粉饰你的说词。
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发表于 2010-12-14 22:30 | 显示全部楼层
我倒觉得文章写得很客观,下面的回复充分说明了看经济学人文章的人都很理性,并且有相当程度的自我解读。相比之下,我们更像是在围观。
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发表于 2010-12-14 22:46 | 显示全部楼层
就在西方叫嚷着中国并购他们的企业时,中国国内的企业纷纷卖给了外资企业,许多行业甚至被外资完全控制。中国经济真是不设防啊!我们刚刚并购了他们的一两个企业,他们就大叫狼来了......这与他们在中国的垄断性并购,简直就是不值一提,太小儿科了!
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发表于 2010-12-14 22:58 | 显示全部楼层
国企真不是这些西方人意淫的那样 因为国企开除一个正式员工 需要得到上级的批准 由此 导致员工对领导还是有相当的自由度的 这点不同于私企 老板的意见真的可以随意开除一个人 国企里员工的福利和尊严是更有保障的
另外 国企的管理也在不断改进 基本引进了绩效化的模式 没有成绩就会换人 内部的竞争也很严酷的
这些外国人里面 需要被相关领导重视的 其实只有这一句
CuriousCanadian:

“技术和专家是公司价值的重要所在,当中国从纯粹挖掘人才的工作——这其实是中国的强项——转而进入到一个相对复杂的消费品产业中(更不用提创造性的产业),他们的确需要更好的管理能力。”

这句话是整篇文章的亮点,中国投资者应当用心领会。其余都是东拼西凑的大杂烩,用来支持作者的观点
===========
其他的 就让外国人自己去沉浸在独裁 等级制的“梦想”之中吧
另外 看起来像是中国人的回帖是最让我恶心的
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发表于 2010-12-14 23:56 | 显示全部楼层
满仓哥哥,你是我的偶像。

以后在AC,你就是我罩着的
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-12-15 11:27 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 满仓 于 2010-12-15 11:53 编辑
满仓哥哥,你是我的偶像。

以后在AC,你就是我罩着的
营长 发表于 2010-12-14 23:56



呵呵,请多加关照。
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发表于 2010-12-15 13:27 | 显示全部楼层
呵呵,请多加关照。
满仓 发表于 2010-12-15 11:27



    满仓哥哥,是应该你关照我吧~
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发表于 2010-12-15 17:50 | 显示全部楼层
有力道,敬佩!
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发表于 2010-12-25 11:49 | 显示全部楼层
喉舌太多了
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