【彭博社11.11.10】欧洲为世界经济复苏再添阴云，中国出口增速放缓

tingwen

【原文标题】China ExportsSlow as Europe Clouds Global Outlook
【中文标题】欧洲为世界经济复苏再添阴云，中国出口增速放缓
【登载媒体】Bloomberg 彭博社
【来源地址】http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-10/china-s-exports-rise-at-slower-pace-as-europe-debt-crisis-clouds-outlook.html
【译  者】 tingwen   
【翻译方式】 人工
【声  明】    欢迎转载，请务必注明译者和出处 bbs.m4.cn。
【原文库链接】http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-3231105-1-1.html

【译  文】


Containers are stacked at theDayaowan Bonded Port Area in Dalian, Liaoning Province, China. Photographer:Nelson Ching/Bloomberg


图中是堆放在辽宁省大连市大窑湾保税港区的集装箱。摄影师：Nelson Ching/彭博社



China’sexports rose at a slower pace in October as Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis threatensItaly and worsens the outlook forglobal growth. Overseas shipments rose 15.9 percent from a year earlier,customsbureau data showed today. The trade surplus was $17billion, compared with $14.5billion in September. Imports climbed 28.7 percent.

随着欧债危机蔓延波至意大利，全球经济进一步恶化，中国10月份出口增速持续放缓。海关数据显示，较之去年同期，海外出货量增长率为15.9%。贸易顺差从9月份的170亿美元降低到145亿美元，进口增长率为28.7%。

Stocks areslumping on concern that Europe will struggle to keep its currency union intact andas International MonetaryFund Managing Director Christine Lagarde warns of therisk of a“lost decade” for the world economy. China’s ruling CommunistParty aims to tame inflation withouttriggering a slump as reports yesterday showed weaker growth in industrial outputgrowth and the smallest gain inconsumer prices in five months.
“Export growth will slow further as Europe may enter amodest recession in the fourthquarter,” Ding Shuang, a HongKong-based economist at Citigroup Inc., saidbefore the release.“But China has a large fiscal surplus which meansthegovernment could be more proactive in its spending to support economic expansion”, he said.

欧洲股市的疲软表明了投资者对欧洲将如何努力保持其货币联盟完整性的担忧，国际货币基金组织总裁ChristineLagarde警告说全球经济有可能出现“失去的十年”的风险。在中国，其政府希望有效抑制通货膨胀，同时避免其抑制政策有可能引发的经济萧条。根据昨天的报道，中国工业产值增长速度持续放缓，价格涨幅则达到五个月的最低点。花旗集团驻香港经济学家丁爽说“随着欧洲四季度可能出现的适度经济衰退，中国出口增长率将会进一步放缓，但是巨额财政盈余意味着中国政府可以更加积极主动的运用财政政策刺激经济扩张”。

Exportgrowth compared with a median estimate of 16.1percent in a Bloomberg Newssurvey of 25 economists is a gain of 17.1 percent in September. The median forecast forimportswas 22.2 percent and that for thetrade surplus was $25.8 billion.

彭博网调查了25位经济学家，他们所估计的中国出口增长率（中位数）为16.1%，与之相比，9月份的实际增幅为17.1%。 进口增长率与贸易顺差的预测（中位数）分别为22.2%和258亿美元。


OrdersDrop

订单下降

Investorsyesterday propelled Italy’s 10-year bond yield to close at a euro-era high of7.25 percent, escalating the region’s crisis after the promised exit of PrimeMinister Silvio Berlusconi failed to convince them that his country can slash Europe’ssecond-largest debt burden. In the U.S., meanwhile, demand is capped byelevated unemployment.

鉴于承诺辞职的意大利总理 Silvio Berlusconi未能使投资者信服意大利有能力削减欧洲第二大的债务负担，昨天，投资者将意大利10年期债券收益率推至7.25%，创欧元历史新高，也使整个地区危机加剧。与之同时，在美国，高失业率仍然抑制需求的增长。

Orders from U.S. buyers at the Canton trade fair held in October and Novemberin Guangdong province dropped 24 percent from a year earlier and those fromEuropean buyers fell 19percent, organizers said last week. Chinese solar-panelmaker Trina Solar Ltd. cut its forecast for 2011 shipments on Nov. 3because customers in Europe have haddifficulty financing projects.

中国广东省广交会的一位组织者上周说，与去年相比，今年10，11月广交会上美国与欧洲的订单分别下降了24%和19%。并且因为欧洲客户的融资困难，中国太阳能组件制造商天合光能有限公司在11月3日降低了他们的本年度的出货预测。

China may slow the Yuan’s appreciation against the U.S.dollar to 3 percent to 4percent until the end of 2012 from an annualized pace of 5 percent thisyear, London-based Capital Economics Ltd. said in a Nov. 3 report. Citigroup’s Dingestimates gains will slow to 4percent next year.
“Thegovernment may want to avoid allowing too much yuanappreciation as that would hurtexports,” Ding said. “But the currency will still rise as China wants to encourage importsandreduce the accumulation of itsforeign-exchange reserves,” he said.  Premier Wen Jiabao said last monththe government will fine-tune economic policies as needed to sustain growth amidaglobal slowdown. He also pledged tomaintain a “basically stable” exchange rate.

伦敦资本经济公司的11月3日报告显示，中国可能会放缓人民币对美元的升值速度，到2012年年底之前，人民币汇率将从年增长率5% 降为 3%或4%。花旗集团丁爽预测明年人民币升值速率为4%。
“由于人民币升值对出口造成的负面影响，政府希望放缓人民币升值速度，”丁爽说,“但是另一方面政府又要鼓励进口和降低外汇储备，人民币则将会持续升值”。国务院总理温家宝上个月表示，在全球经济低迷的背景下，政府将适时适度的对宏观经济政策进行微调以期维持经济持续稳定增长。他还承诺的人民币汇率将保持“基本稳定”。

李小龙的双截棍

意大利总理也辞职了，看接下来谁辞职