【CNN111025】印度2013年前赶超中国（更新网友评论）
本帖最后由 lilyma06 于 2011-10-27 10:11 编辑【中文标题】印度2013年前赶超中国
【原文标题】India to outperform China by 2013
【登载媒体】CNN
【来源地址】http://business.blogs.cnn.com/2011/10/25/india-to-outperform-china-by-2013/
【译 者】 lilyma06
【翻译方式】 人工
【声 明】 欢迎转载，请务必注明译者和出处 bbs.m4.cn。
【译 文】
India is expected to overtake fellow Asian powerhouse China in terms of GDP growth in 2013, according to a new report from Ernst and Young.
India is forecast to achieve 9.5% growth, compared with China’s expected 9%.
Both countries remain among the top performers in thegroup of 25 so called Rapid Growth Markets (RGMs),which also includes Brazil and Russia.
The report, which is based on the Oxford Economics Growth Model and offers insight on macroeconomic trends across these fast-growing markets,attributes China and India’s relative resilience in the face of global economic turmoil to their large domestic markets and low oil and commodity prices .
根据最新的安永会计师事务所的报告，印度预计在2013年国内生产总值增长超过亚洲强国中国。
印度跟中国预期9％的增长相比会预计实现9.5％的增长率。
两国仍然25个所谓的快速增长市场（RGMs）中表现最佳的，这其中还包括巴西和俄罗斯。
这份报告是基于牛津经济增长模型，并提供有这些快速增长的市场宏观经济趋势的观察，在面对全球经济风暴时中国和印度对于其国内大市场和低油价和商品价格的中印两国的相对韧性。
But it cautions that inflation, which rose to 10.9% in India in August, needs to be reined in.
“Once inflation is in check, and interest rates are no longer rising, consumers will be more willing to spend, supporting a general improvement in the business environment, with growth steadily accelerating during 2012,” the report said.
The report also warns of a grim future in the aftermath of a potential European recession if the Eurozone debt crisis is not resolved.
Average GDP growth among RGMs would stagnate to 3.2% in 2013, the report predicts, almost half of the current 6.2% estimate for the same year.
但报告中警告在印度8月份上升至10.9％的通货膨胀需要被勒住。
报告中还指出，“一旦通货通胀是被控制住，利率不再上升，消费者会更愿意花钱消费，这也能支持商业环境的改善，在2012年会稳步增长。
该报告还警告说，如果欧元区债务危机没有解决的话，潜在的欧洲经济衰退可能使未来情况堪忧。
该报告预测，快速增长市场中国内生产总值平均增长率将停滞在2013年的3.2％，这几乎是目前的6.2％同年的一半。
以下是美国网友评论：（译者 WillianRUC)
That'snotTrue:[
Dear author and other commentors, please read The Economist's article "Catching up to the Dragon"
Author, you are dreaming! India does have potential to catch up to, not surpass China, not with the system they have in place currently, they need to change that first, and stop being so dependent on western powers and then maybe they will surpass China.
Other commentors, no need to be pro China/India or anti India/China, this is CNN's game, or rather the western... well US's game, to turn two up and coming countries against each other! So India, play by the west's rules & beat them at it! & China will keep on doing what it's doing, neither country try to conflict unlike the current superpower in place =[
Both have pros and cons, let's focus on our own problems first instead of a much ado about nothing, which CNN is trying to cause.
亲爱的作者和各位评论者，请好好读读《经济学人》的文章《追上中国龙》。
作者，你在做梦吧！印度的确拥有赶上中国的潜力。不过并非超过，也并不能在他们现在这样的制度中实现，他们必须首先改变制度，改变对西方力量的严重依赖。在此以后也许他们能够赶超中国。
其他的评论者没必要唱红中国或印度，还是唱衰中国或印度，这只是CNN的游戏——或仅仅是西方、美国的游戏。他们惯常推出两个国家互相撕咬！因此印度啊，用西方的游戏规则打败西方吧！中国将继续按他们的方式前进，两个国家不再发生冲突，完全不同于现在这个超级大国的做法。
支持者和反对者们，让我们首先聚焦自己的问题，不要像CNN一样无事生非了。
Ram Iyer
Hi,
GDP represents what's produced, yup we may be producing more than China. As this report says by 2013. Now the point is consumption is confined to a small portion of the population, in other terms the "growing middle class, upper middle class and the rich". In India, people outside of the these three are large and the growth in that section is greatly undermined. This means, in the years to come there is a greater divide between the rich and the poor. In the last 40-50 years, Indian government has ignored progress in the agricultural sector and rather working on industrialization of the rural sector for uplift of the population. In other words, India will greatly depend on import to feed it's population and thus opening up opportunities for external markets to capitalize. I sincerely hope India doesn't fall into the category which I would call, "TRISHANKU", neither developed in full sense and you can't call it developing!!!!
GDP代表了生产了什么，我们可能比中国生产量更大，正如在报道中所提到的至少在2013年以前。现在的问题是消费集中在全体人口中较小的一部分，换言之就是“发展中的中产阶级、高层的中产阶级和富人”。在印度，以上三个阶层以外的人口比例非常巨大，而且这部分的成长状况并不确定。这意味着将来会有严重的贫富分化。在过去的四十到五十年里，印度政府忽视了在农业部门的发展，仅仅为了上层人物发展城市工业。换言之，印度严重依赖进口来满足粮食问题，因而为外国市场统治印度提供了机会。我真诚地希望印度不要落入我可能称呼的：“高不可及”的国家，既没有全面发展又可以叫做发展中国家。
SirBose
Building consensus is far more difficult than building roads; the fact that India has been able to achieve this despite plurality and contradiction is commendable. Whilst democracies might have other virtues, high growth rates has never been one of them. There might be irritation with the government in India but never fear. There is inclusiveness as well, and there are clear trends of that increasing – yes the pace is slow and sometimes agonizing. However rich or poor, we can see the country improving in all respects – economic, social, in science, in sports and culturally. For Humanity itself this has been a great achievement.
创建共识比修建公路困难多了。除却多元化背景下的矛盾，印度有实现它的能力令人赞叹。尽管民主国家有许多其他的优点，但是追求高增长率从不属于其间。在印度，政府也许会适当刺激经济，但是从不会让人害怕。那里同样拥有包容性，而且有明显增长的驱使——哪怕步伐缓慢，有时甚至惨痛。不管富有还是贫穷，我们可以在这个国家在各个方面提升——经济、社会以至科学、体育和文化领域。对人类而言已经是伟大的成功。
rene
just walk around your house or office and name 3 things that are made in India, il bet you that you can't. try shipping any goods out of or into India without pulling your hair out in despair because of the red tape. India is a wonderful country with a great future but you are kidding yourself if you think its on par with China
仅仅绕着你的房子或办公室走上三圈，看看是否能找到三样印度产品。我敢打赌你不能。试着从印度带进或者带出任何商品，繁文缛节足以让你绝望地扯头发。印度的确是一个拥有美好未来的国家，但是如果你想把它和中国看齐的话，你就是自欺欺人了。
Akhil
First and foremost its vital to understand that India and China are fundamentally different societies and economies and you cannot compare the to based on a single yardstick be it growth rates, income levels etc. Unfortunately the world has a poor view of India largely because most people do not see the poverty, inequality and suppression of human rights in China thanks to the political establishment in place. There are plenty of cities and people in far worst conditions in China that you can imagine, unfortunately you will never hear about them. History has shown us that Communism and Capitalism cannot co exit peacefully and China I believe is at an inflection point in its History. India on the other hand has the strong fundamentals both economically and legislatively. Our biggest problems are corruption and poor governance and these issues are finally being tackled. In the long run I think people will want to do business with India whereas they will be forced to to do business with China since most of them have pretty much sold themselves out to China.
首先要绝对明白中国和印度在经济和社会上存在本质不同。因而你不能以发展速度和收入程度为标准衡量。不幸的是世界对印度有个糟糕的视角，很大程度上因为大多数人没有看到由于中国政治制度造成的贫穷、不公和人权沦丧。你应该想象一下中国有许多地区处于最恶劣的环境，不幸的是你无法听到那里的真实情况。历史给我展示了社会主义和集权主义不能和平退出，我相信中国正处以历史上的一个关键时刻。从另一个方面看，印度在经济和立法领域有坚实的基础。我们最大的问题在于腐败和管理不善，而且这些问题会最终得到解决。从长期看，我认为即便人们会被迫和中国做生意。人们也会愿意和印度做生意。
Devdutt Roy Chowdhury
Wealth or economic progress of a state is often loosely translated as better standards of living for its people. It is often not the case. Its not without reason, that people like Vikram Singh lose patience and comment the way he did. In India sometimes you can find yourself in situations where your patience is put to test. But, again, I do not blame the Government or the red-tape or anything like that ....in a democracy, people get the Government they deserve. So, its upto us to bring about the change. Talking of bribes.....I'd like to ask EVERY Indian who reads this....Did you ever accept a bribe or did you ever bribe or try to bribe anyone (Howsoever small the amount of money involved)? If the honest answer is "no", I will be, honestly, surprised. If the honest answer is "Yes", you know what I mean, when I say that people get the Government they deserve.
一个国家的财富和经济进步经常被宽泛地认为会提高国民的生活水平。然而事实常常并非如此。毫无缘由地，像维克拉姆·辛格这样的人失去了耐心，用他自己的人评论。在印度，有些时候你会发现自己处于对你的耐心进行测试的境地。但是，我不打算责备政府或者繁文缛节。在民主国家，人们获得他们应该得到的政府。因此是否要改变取决于我们自己。你曾经接受过贿赂吗？你曾经对他人行贿吗？如果你的答案是“不”，我诚然会惊讶。如果答案是“是”，你明白我说人们获得他们应该得到的政府的意思。
印度人民笑了 三哥，等着你哦;P 三哥，又在意淫啊！ 三哥，又在意淫啊！ 棒国微笑不语;P 祝福。。。。。。 三哥v5;P;P;P;P 这说的是增长率 好吧，反正未来都是三哥的 为印度庆祝下！ 三哥表示鸭梨很大呀 未来属于三哥，过去属于寒国，一切尽在国军掌握！ ，“一旦通货通胀是被控制住，利率不再上升，消费者会更愿意花钱消费，这也能支持商业环境的改善，在2012年会稳步增长。
该报告还警告说，如果欧元区债务危机没有解决的话，潜在的欧洲经济衰退可能使未来情况堪忧。
该报告预测，快速增长市场中国内生产总值平均增长率将停滞在2013年的3.2％，这几乎是目前的6.2％同年的一半。
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1.观点很奇怪，一般通货膨胀的时候大家才乐意花前，不通胀的时候乐意存钱
2.今年中国的经济增长率是6.2%吗？好像是通胀率吧，增长率应该是9%
三哥赶超中国？是指人口数的话，算你说对了。 文化低，看不出什么来 未来十年中国将进入经济转型期，增长率会下降，被阿三一时超过是不可避免的事情。
就这个也值得阿三兴奋吗？ 未来属于三哥，过去属于寒国，一切尽在国军掌握！ 未来属于三哥，过去属于寒国，一切尽在国军掌握！ 你可能不知道美国，但你一定知道韩国和印度。前者认为牛逼的都是自己的，后者认为自己的都是牛逼的。
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