【原文标题】Angry China flexing muscle with Europe over Tibet: analysts
【中文标题】愤怒的中国面对欧洲的西藏举动握紧了拳头
【登载媒体】Yahoo
【来源地址】http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20081127/wl_asia_afp/euchinatibetpolitics_081127070311;_ylt=Ak3g3NqpduDb9PeZTMmHtnQBS5Z4
【译者】荡漾
【声明】本翻译供Anti-CNN使用，转载请注明译者及出处，谢谢！
【译文】
周四分析家表示中国为西藏问题取消与欧盟的峰会这一前所未有的举动透露出中国日益倾向于握紧拳头，展示更加强大的全球实力。
亚洲巨人在最后一分钟取消了原定于周一在法国召开的中欧峰会，据说是因为不乐意看到法国总统萨科齐计划在峰会结束后接见达赖喇嘛。
纽约哥伦比亚大学的西藏研究教授Robbie Barnett认为“这一传达信号的方式是不同寻常的强硬”。
“达赖喇嘛从1987年来一直出访西方多国首都城市却从未激起取消双边峰会这种程度的反应”。
以往中国曾经取消过与外国官员的互访和对话，例如德国的财政部长去年12月因默克尔接见达赖喇嘛而被迫取消前往中国的访程。
中国多年来一直坚持反对外国领导人接见藏族精神领袖，后者致力于为1951年以来受中国控制的喜马拉雅家园赢得独立。
香港圣约翰大学政治学教授Jean-Pierre Cabestan认为“这是不同寻常的，很严重，中国以前从未取消过峰会”。
“中国感觉到自身已比过去强大得多，想向世界施加影响力”。
Cabestan表示取消峰会的决定是欧盟与中国之间刺激事件累积的产物，欧洲12月的一系列计划最终激怒了中国。
包括达赖喇嘛出访欧盟几个国家，12月6日会见萨科齐，欧洲议会17日将正式给中国的异见人士胡佳颁发萨哈罗夫奖。
中国政府的国际事务研究所欧洲研究中心负责人Xing Hua认为中国的反应体现出真正的挫折感。
“中国是被迫这么做的，因为再也不能忍受（有）国家领导人如此轻率就认可了分裂主义运动的领袖”。
不过也有一些分析家认为这不仅是一个简单的外交信号，可能是中国有预谋地对欧盟内部的国家进行分离活动。
Barnett认为“欧盟力量中有内部分歧，尝试施加点压力看看哪些国家会坚持他们（一贯）的原则，哪些国家认为他们不该给中国添乱……这是在玩一个高风险的游戏”。
他引用了几个近期欧洲引人注目的风向转变事件，包括德国外交部长因默克尔与藏族精神领袖的对话引起了外交麻烦而在5月拒绝接见达赖喇嘛。
尽管之前曾与达赖喇嘛进行过讨论，但在去年罗马教皇也拒绝了接见他。
Barnett认为“这些都是在西藏事务上施加政治压力取得的明显的成功”。
不过其他人也指出如果换作面对美国，中国未必会选择如此高调的方式来展现外交实力。
北京一个独立智库中国和世界研究所的研究员Li Fan认为“如果这是与美国的会议，中国将不会这么做。由此可见欧洲对中国而言位居第二”。
“对中国而言西藏事务比与欧洲之间的关系更为重要”。
不过Barnett认为在美国总统过渡期作出这样的举动仍然意义非凡。
“这不仅是象棋比赛，这更是外交重拳”。
【原文】
(by Marianne Barriaux)
BEIJING (AFP) – China's unprecedented decision to cancel a summit with the European Union over Tibet shows an increasing willingness for Beijing to flex its ever-strengthening global muscle, analysts said Thursday.
The China-EU summit, due to take place on Monday in France, was called off at the last minute by the Asian giant, which said it was unhappy at French President Nicolas Sarkozy's plans to meet the Dalai Lama after the meeting.
"This is an unusually strong way of sending a signal," said Robbie Barnett, professor of Tibetan studies at Columbia University in New York.
"The Dalai Lama has been visiting Western capitals since 1987 but there has not been a response to this degree -- the cancellation of a multilateral summit."
China has in the past called off visits or talks with foreign officials -- Germany's finance minister, for example, was forced to cancel a trip to China in December last year after Chancellor Angela Merkel met with the Dalai Lama.
China has insisted for many years that it opposes foreign leaders meeting the Tibetan spiritual leader, who it maintains is trying to win independence for his Himalayan homeland that has been under Chinese rule since 1951.
"But this is unprecedented, it's serious, China has never before cancelled summits," said Jean-Pierre Cabestan, a professor of political science at Hong Kong Baptist University.
"China feels much more powerful than before and wants to impose its rules on the rest of the world."
The decision to cancel the summit comes amid an accumulation of irritants between the EU and China, Cabestan said, culminating in a number of actions planned in Europe for December that were bound to anger Beijing.
These included the Dalai Lama's visit to several countries in the EU, his meeting with Sarkozy on December 6, and the European Parliament's formal awarding of the Sakharov Prize to jailed Chinese dissident Hu Jia on the 17th.
Xing Hua, head of the Europe research centre of the Chinese government's China Institute of International Studies, said Beijing's response was borne out of genuine frustration.
"China was forced to do this, as it cannot continue to tolerate heads of state recognising so lightly the head of a secessionist movement," Xing said.
But more than a simple diplomatic signal, some analysts said this could be a deliberate attempt by China to try and split nations within the EU.
"There are internal divisions among the EU powers, and this is a squeeze to try and see who will stick to their principles and who believes they mustn't upset China... it's a high-stakes game," said Barnett.
He cited several recent high profile U-turns in Europe, including the refusal by Germany's foreign minister to meet the Dalai Lama in May after Merkel's talks with the Buddhist spiritual leader caused diplomatic problems.
The Pope also refused to meet him last year, despite having held discussions with him before.
"These are spectacular successes for pressure politics on the Tibet issue," said Barnett.
But others pointed out that it was doubtful China would have flexed its diplomatic muscle in such a big way if it had been meeting with the United States.
"If this was a meeting with the United States, then China wouldn't have done this, so it shows that Europe just comes second," said Li Fan, a researcher at The World and China Institute, an independent think tank in Beijing.
"China thinks the Tibetan issue is more important than its relations with Europe."
Still, the move came at a time when the US presidency was in transition -- a move that Barnett said was significant.
"This is more than a chess play, this is diplomatic hard ball."
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发表于 2008-12-1 00:53
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