纽约时报 China’s Power Surge Ends (for Now)

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January 6, 2009, 8:16 am China’s Power Surge Ends (for Now)By Andrew C. Revkin

Click image for larger version. A graph compares patterns of growth in power generation in China since 2002 (YOY means “year on year”) and shows a steep drop since the fall. (Credit: Richard K. Morse, Stanford University. Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics)
The extraordinary growth in power generation in China in recent years, which quickly vaulted the emerging industrial powerhouse to the top of the global list of carbon dioxide emitters, has collapsed under the weight of the global economic implosion — at least for now. Emissions of the main human-generated greenhouse gas are surely tracking the reversal in electricity output, given that the vast majority of the country’s electricity comes from burning coal. But those data lag the power statistics.
Researchers at Stanford University who closely track China’s power sector, coal use, and carbon dioxide emissions have done an initial rough projection and foresee China possibly emitting somewhere between 1.9 and 2.6 billion tons less carbon dioxide from 2008 to 2010 than it would have under “business as usual” if current bearish trends for the global economy hold up.
China had seen slowdowns in the growth in electricity supplies recently, often because of shortages of coal or the ability to get the fuel where it was needed. But the sharp decline in the last few months is new, said Richard K. Morse, who studies coal and power trends and their implications for climate. I’ll be adding more here shortly as he and others at Stanford, including Gang He and David G. Victor, analyze the numbers and their implications.



http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/01/06/chinas-power-surge-ends-for-now/?scp=2&sq=china&st=cse

bylife

说白了，就是一推乱七八糟的线横竖不平。
美国的又怎样。

livia

美国的更不怎么样。。。中国应该是受影响算最小的了吧

loya

中国发电大潮退去（暂时）

这张图表比较了自从2002年以来中国的发电状况（YOY——与上一年同期相比）并显示了自从08秋季以来发电量有了急剧的下降。
近年来，中国非比寻常的发电量使它迅速成为了世界上二氧化碳排放量最大的国家，而现在，在全球经济压力下，中国的发电量不得不剧烈收缩。由于这个国家绝大部分电力都是靠烧煤产生的，温室气体的排放量就与发电量有着不可分割的联系。但是这些数据仍落后于电力统计量（？）。斯坦福大学致力于研究中国电力部门、煤炭使用和碳排放的学者做的一项粗略的研究预测到如果当前恶劣的经济状况持续下去的话，中国在2008到2010年间的二氧化碳排放量将比“在正常经济情况下”少19到26亿吨。
“由于煤炭的短缺以及无法在需要的地方找到燃料，中国电力供应的增长率经常出现下降。但是几个月内的急转直下仍然是罕见的。”研究煤炭和电力供应趋势对气候影响的理查德*K*莫尔斯说道，“根据斯坦福大学另一些学者（包括何刚与大卫*G*维克多）的研究，发电量的减少还将持续。”

大致意思应该还是对的。。。小细节只好忽略它了。