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本帖最后由 vivicat 于 2009-7-28 18:00 编辑
【原文标题】Nervous China may attack India by 2012: Expert
【中文标题】印度专家称：不安的中国可能在2012年前攻打印度
【登载媒体】印度快报
【来源】http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/NEWS-India-Nervous-China-may-attack-India-by-2012-Expert/articleshow/4769593.cms
【认领链接】http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-184639-1-1.html
【译者】calmvoca
【声明】本文翻译仅限Anti-CNN使用，谢绝转载。
紫色字样为译者评论。
Nervous China may attack India by 2012: Expert
印度专家称：不安的中国可能在2012年前攻打印度
A leading defence expert has projected that China will attack India by 2012 to divert the attention of its own people from "unprecedented" internal dissent, growing unemployment and financial problems that are threatening the hold of Communists in that country.
一名印度资深国防专家预测，中国将在2012年前攻打印度，以此来把自己人民的注意力从“史无前例”的内部矛盾、不断增加的失业人数和财政问题转移出来，这些问题正威胁共产党的执政。
"China will launch an attack on India before 2012. There are multiple reasons for a desperate Beijing to teach India the final lesson, thereby ensuring Chinese supremacy in Asia in this century," Bharat Verma, Editor of the Indian Defence Review, has said.
“中国在2012年前将发动对印度的进攻。绝望的北京有多种原因来给印度最后一个教训，从而确保中国本世纪在亚洲的优势”，《印度防务观察》编辑巴拉特·维尔马说。
Verma said the recession has "shut the Chinese exports shop", creating an "unprecedented internal social unrest" which in turn, was severely threatening the grip of the Communists over the society.
维尔马说，经济衰退已经“关闭了中国的出口”，造成了一个“前所未有的内部社会动乱”，这些结果会严重威胁共产党对社会的掌控。
Among other reasons for this assessment were rising unemployment, flight of capital worth billions of dollars, depletion of its foreign exchange reserves and growing internal dissent, Verma said in an editorial in the forthcoming issue of the premier defence journal. In addition to this, "The growing irrelevance of Pakistan, their right hand that operates against India on their behest, is increasing the Chinese nervousness," he said, adding that US President Barak Obama's Af-Pak policy was primarily Pak-Af policy that has "intelligently set the thief to catch the thief".
维尔马在即将发行的印度国务院国防杂志的一篇社论中说，他下这一论断的其他原因还有，（认为中国的）失业率上升、价值数十亿美元的资本外逃、外汇储备的耗尽和日益增加的内部意见相左。此外，“在中国授意下，巴基斯坦制衡印度的策略已经失效，这日益使中国感到不安，” 他补充说， 美国总统巴拉克·奥巴马的“阿富-巴”计划其实主要是“巴-阿富”计划，“聪明地让贼抓贼”。
Verma said Beijing was "already rattled, with its proxy Pakistan now literally embroiled in a civil war, losing its sheen against India." "Above all, it is worried over the growing alliance of India with the US and the West, because the alliance has the potential to create a technologically superior counterpoise.
维尔马说，中国“已经慌乱，其代理巴基斯坦现在实际上陷入内战，无力对付印度。” “最重要的是，担心印度与美国和西方的越来越紧密的联盟，因为该联盟有可能建立起一个技术卓越的平衡体。”
"All these three concerns of Chinese Communists are best addressed by waging a war against pacifist India to achieve multiple strategic objectives," he said.
“这三个中国共产党关注问题的最有效解决方式是，发动一场对和平主义印度的战争，以实现多重战略目标”他说。
（译者注：原文如此，各位看官见笑了。中国会发动战争？？印度是和平主义的？？和平主义的国家不会YY其他国家来虐待自己吧？）
While China "covertly allowed" North Korea to test underground nuclear explosion and carry out missile trials, it was also "increasing its naval presence in South China Sea to coerce into submission those opposing its claim on the Sprately Islands," the defence expert said. He said it would be "unwise" at this point of time for a recession-hit China to move against the Western interests, including Japan.
此国防专家说，中国“秘密允许”朝鲜试验地下核爆炸和进行导弹试验，并且还“增加其在南中国海的海军，胁迫那些反对其南沙群岛主权的国家屈服”。他还说，在这个时候，衰退的中国损害西方利益，包括日本利益，将是“不明智的”。
"Therefore, the most attractive option is to attack a soft target like India and forcibly occupy its territory in the Northeast," Verma said. But India is "least prepared" on ground to face the Chinese threat, he says and asks a series of questions on how will India respond to repulse the Chinese game plan or whether Indian leadership would be able to "take the heat of war".
“因此，最有吸引力的选择是攻打一个温和的目标，比如说印度，强行占领它东北部的领土，”维尔马说。但是，印度面对中国的威胁，在地面上“至少是有准备的”，他说，并询问了一系列问题，关于将如何反击中国的这个游戏计划，或者，印度领导人是否能够“展开热战” 。
"Is Indian military equipped to face the two-front wars by Beijing and Islamabad? Is the Indian civil administration geared to meet the internal security challenges that the external actors will sponsor simultaneously through their doctrine of unrestricted warfare? "The answers are an unequivocal 'no'. Pacifist India is not ready by a long shot either on the internal or the external front," the defence journal editor says. In view of the "imminent threat" posed by China, "the quickest way to swing out of pacifism to a state of assertion is by injecting military thinking in the civil administration to build the sinews. That will enormously increase the deliverables on ground – from Lalgarh to Tawang," he says.
“印度军队能否同时与北京和伊斯兰堡两方同时作战？印度民事行政是否契合国内安全挑战，外国行动者们秉着超限战的教条同时行动？”答案是明确的：“不”。从长远来讲，和平主义的印度还没有准备好，无论是在内部或外部方面，国防期刊编辑说。鉴于中国所构成的“迫在眉睫的威胁”，他说，“印度最快的方式是摆脱和平主义，在民政管理内注入军事思维，这样才能塑造肌肉。这将极大地增加地面交付标的，从拉噶拉地区到达旺地区。”
译者注：Lalgarh是西孟加拉邦的拉噶拉地区；Tawang是印控藏南的达旺地区——我国领土。对这两个区域的霸占，以及希望有更大的扩张“这将极大地增加地面交付标的”，这就是本文所称的“和平主义的印度”。近年来，“中国威胁论”屡屡被西方国家拿来说事，现在印度也步其后尘，其实这种行为很容易看透，就是，以“中国威胁论”为借口，来为他们的国家的军事目的找一个冠冕堂皇的借口。中国政府肯定不甩他们这些言论，但我们科技强军、保卫自己是不可松懈的。
<达旺自古都是中国的领土，是被印度非法占领建立所谓的“阿鲁纳恰尔邦州”的行政区划，在中国的区划下达旺是属于西藏山南地区的错那县。达旺州的面积有2,172平方千米。是南藏门隅地区重要的政治、宗教中心。1949年新中国成立前夕，印度军队入侵了该地区，赶走了当地的藏族官员，实行殖民统治。他们在这里推行奴化教育，语言同化，广泛使用印地语、英语和阿萨姆语等并强迫当地居民改变固有的生活方式，试图将该地区永久的纳入印度版图。1962年中印边境战争时，中国军队曾直抵达旺，后我军主动回撤，达旺地区重又被印军占领。1987年秋，印度政府悍然宣布成立所谓的“阿鲁纳恰尔北方邦”，强行将我国固有的神圣领土达旺地区划归印度的版图。同年10月，我军派出2个连的部队再次进驻该地，印军没有抵抗，将部队撤回达旺河以南。
来源：http://baike.baidu.com/view/99679.htm > |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2009-7-28 16:54
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