【09.11.26 新闻周刊】Why China Isn’t Likely to Offer Troops for Afghanistan

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China Wants the Spoils, Not the War
http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/wealthofnations/archive/2009/11/26/china-wants-the-spoils-not-the-war.aspx

Posted Thursday, November 26, 2009 9:20 AM By Melinda Liu

War requires both blood and treasure, and in Afghanistan, Beijing has invested plenty of the latter without risking any of the former. It's been betting big on the war-torn state, and in 2007 it made the largest investment in Afghan history: a $3 billion deal by China Metallurgical to develop the world's largest untapped copper reserves at Aynak. That, coupled with avid Chinese interest in Afghanistan's oil, gas, iron, and uranium, has prompted Western complaints that Beijing is "free-riding" on NATO military efforts to stabilize the country. So far, Beijing has provided the allies little more than mine-clearing expertise and refuses to put soldiers under NATO control. Now, with the European effort to train Afghan police plagued by problems, experts argue that China should step in. Washington is upping the pressure, too. During his visit last week, President Obama got China to agree to cooperate on ensuring that neither Afghanistan nor Pakistan is used as a terrorist base. And Jon Huntsman, the U.S. ambassador to China, says Washington is discussing possible intelligence cooperation with the Chinese. Still, they're not likely to offer much more. Beijing considers Afghanistan a quagmire and worries that troop casualties could inflame antiwar sentiment at home--especially since a third of its soldiers are single children, because of family-planning controls. And Washington, already in China's debt, is poorly placed to convince Beijing otherwise.

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