[原创翻译]纽约时报如何说中国第一季度经济高增长

西儿

China’s G.D.P. Jumps in First Quarter
中国第一季度GDP猛增

原文链接http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/16/business/global/16yuan.html


China’s gross domestic product jumped 11.9 percent in the first quarter of this year over the same period in 2009, the government said on Thursday, pointing to an accelerating recovery from the global economic crisis.
中国政府周四宣布，中国第一季度GDP相较于2009年同期增长了11.9%，指出中国正从全球经济危机中快速恢复过来。

That growth rate, the highest in three years, not only topped most economists’ forecasts, but handily beat the 10.7 percent expansion that had been recorded in the last quarter of 2009.
这一三年来最高的增长率，不仅超出大多数经济学家的预期，还轻松超过了2009年第四季度的增长率10.7%。

China’s National Bureau of Statistics also reported that the consumer price index rose 2.4 percent in March from a year earlier, and that the producer price index was up 5.2 percent. Those figures were generally in line with analysts’ expectations.
中国国家统计局报道说，三月份消费者物价指数比去年增长了2.4%，生产者物价指数增长了5.2%。这些数据基本与分析人士的预期一致。

“The basic conclusion is that the recovery is on track,” said Tao Wang, an economist at UBS Securities in Beijing.
The statistics bureau apparently agreed, repeating in a statement that China would maintain its “appropriately loose” monetary policy and an expansionist fiscal policy.

Ms. Wang said that the comparatively modest inflation figures may dissuade the government from quickly raising interest rates, as many analysts have recently forecast. She added, however, that the low inflation rate stemmed partly from a seasonal decline related to the end of China’s Lunar New Year holiday and that inflation would be likely to pick up in coming months.
低通货膨胀率部分是由于中国阴历新年结束相关的周期性下降，未来几个月，通胀率很可能回升。

The government said consumer prices were “basically stable.” In an apparent indication of its confidence that inflation was in check, the government raised retail gasoline prices by as much as five percent on Wednesday, the first increase in gas prices since in more than five months.

First-quarter growth figures were largely driven by economic stimulus spending, the statistics bureau said.
统计局说，第一季度的增长大部分是由经济刺激支出带动的。

G.D.P. growth appeared especially high because it was in comparison to a relatively low base in 2009. China’s economy grew by only 6.2 percent in the first quarter of 2009, when the global recession was at its depths.
GDP增长率看起来特别高是由于2009年的基数很代。2009年世界处于严重衰退，第一季度中国经济仅增长了6.2%。

China’s State Council, a high-level body similar to the White House’s Cabinet, said in a statement issued late Wednesday that “there are still many conflicts and difficulties in the process of economic recovery,” including high unemployment, the threat of inflation and sovereign debt problems abroad.

The statistics bureau also reported that overall investment rose by 25.6 percent on an annual basis in the first quarter, while urban fixed-asset investment rose 26.4 percent.
统计局报告同时提到，第一季度整体投资按年计增加了25.6%，城市固定资产投资增加了26.4%.

Industrial production rose 18.1 percent in March over March 2009, in line with the 20.7 percent gain for January-February period.

The government has sought in recent weeks to wind down the massive stimulus program begun in 2009, fearing that the economy was overheating. Ms. Wang, the UBS economist, said that the latest growth figures, while strong, offered little indication of that danger, but that other alarming signals were apparent.
由于担心经济过热，中国政府几个星期来在试图逐步停止2009年启动的大规模经济刺激项目。瑞银集团经济学家王女士说，虽然最近的增长数据很强势，但有透露多少风险信息，不过其它一些令人担忧的信号却一目了然。

In particular, she said, officials appear to have had little success in reining in the country’s property boom, despite efforts to limit borrowing and to ban some state-owned corporations from the land market altogether.
她特别提出，尽管政府已出台政策限制借款并禁止部分国有企业参与地产市场，但在控制房地产泡沫发展上，仍然收效甚微。

The statistics bureau said that investment in property leaped 35.1 percent in the first quarter compared to the year-earlier period, the fastest growth rate in more than two years. And on Wednesday, the government said housing prices had risen 11.7 percent in March from the previous year, the fastest rise ever recorded.

滔滔1949

对此这个政府报告，我只有一件事需要感慨：

春节前，我在家乐福买散装大米，一块六毛六一斤。

上星期，我在家门口的物美超市，散装大米两块八毛八，还特别注明——“陈米”

据说是因为灾害天气的关系。

不过五个西红柿要花去五块多的人民币，还有谁能说服我中国现在没有走在通货膨胀的道路上？

gulin

对此这个政府报告，我只有一件事需要感慨：

春节前，我在家乐福买散装大米，一块六毛六一斤。

上星期，我 ...
滔滔1949 发表于 2010-4-16 11:39

楼上不知在哪里？干旱灾区吗？
我浙江那边，东北大米是有涨价，去年底买中汇东北大米30斤是61元左右，前两天去超市看了，涨了，变为63多点，每斤涨了1毛左右