|
【来源】http://www.rogerkaufmann.ch/dsaINTe_r.htm
【简介】瑞士数学家Roger Kaufmann用自己开发的软件预测了2010年南方世界杯上各国家队晋级和夺冠的概率。
【说明】以下各组概率分别为小组赛头名、晋级16强、8强、4强、决赛以及夺冠的概率。
Group A, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. France 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 31.4% 57.7% 30.9% 16.1% 7.2% 3.3%
2. Mexico 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 24.2% 49.4% 23.4% 11.0% 4.3% 1.8%
3. Uruguay 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 24.0% 49.1% 23.3% 10.9% 4.3% 1.8%
4. South Africa 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 20.4% 43.8% 19.2% 8.3% 3.0% 1.1%
Group B, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 31.4% 58.7% 33.1% 17.9% 8.3% 4.0%
2. Argentina 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 29.3% 56.1% 30.5% 15.9% 7.1% 3.4%
3. Greece 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 25.1% 51.0% 26.1% 12.6% 5.2% 2.2%
4. Korea Rep. 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 14.1% 34.2% 13.5% 5.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Group C, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. Algeria 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 28.3% 54.4% 28.4% 15.2% 6.8% 3.2%
2. England 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 28.1% 54.1% 28.2% 15.0% 6.6% 3.1%
3. USA 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 23.8% 48.5% 23.5% 11.7% 4.8% 2.0%
4. Slovenia 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 19.8% 43.0% 19.1% 8.8% 3.3% 1.3%
Group D, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. Germany 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 30.1% 56.4% 30.8% 16.9% 7.8% 3.8%
2. Ghana 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 25.3% 50.8% 25.7% 13.1% 5.6% 2.5%
3. Serbia 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 23.3% 48.0% 23.3% 11.7% 4.8% 2.1%
4. Australia 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 21.2% 44.9% 20.9% 9.9% 3.9% 1.6%
Group E, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. Netherlands 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 36.2% 64.1% 39.6% 18.9% 11.0% 5.7%
2. Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 31.2% 59.2% 34.0% 15.1% 8.1% 3.9%
3. Denmark 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 17.7% 40.9% 18.9% 6.4% 2.8% 1.0%
4. Japan 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 14.8% 35.8% 15.2% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Group F, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. Italy 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 40.5% 68.0% 38.6% 18.0% 10.3% 5.2%
2. Paraguay 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 24.3% 51.2% 22.9% 8.2% 3.8% 1.5%
3. Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 23.4% 50.1% 21.5% 7.4% 3.3% 1.2%
4. New Zealand 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 11.8% 30.6% 9.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Group G, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. Brazil 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 44.7% 73.2% 48.4% 33.7% 23.6% 15.4%
2. Portugal 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 29.2% 60.7% 33.0% 19.5% 11.6% 6.1%
3. Ivory Coast 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 20.2% 47.7% 22.3% 11.6% 6.1% 2.7%
4. Korea DPR 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 5.8% 18.4% 4.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Group H, ranking list (26 May 2010):
matches w d l goals points group winner|round of 16|quarter-finals|semi-finals|final|world champion
1. Spain 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 52.0% 77.6% 48.5% 33.7% 23.4% 15.2%
2. Chile 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 18.5% 45.4% 16.8% 7.9% 3.7% 1.5%
3. Switzerland 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 16.0% 40.8% 14.5% 6.5% 2.9% 1.1%
4. Honduras 0 0 0 0 0: 0 0 13.6% 36.2% 11.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7% |
世界杯, 国家队, 数学预测, 晋级, 概率, 世界杯, 国家队, 数学预测, 晋级, 概率, 世界杯, 国家队, 数学预测, 晋级, 概率
评分
-
1
查看全部评分
-
|