艾未未被捕，中国的精英一代准备好逃亡了吗？

diver18

Is China's Elite Preparing for Exile?

In the years before Hong Kong reverted to Chinese control, the children of its rich and upper middle classes were sent in great numbers to Canada, Australia, Britain and the U.S. for schooling — and passports. These children were the means of escape for their families if escape was necessary. We may be seeing the same phenomenon repeating itself, with the mass exodus of China's political and economic elites children to schools abroad.

This time, the U.S. is the most-favored destination, with 100,000 Chinese students studying in American colleges and universities — more than any other country. Many thousands more study in high school and boarding schools. The talk in Shanghai and Beijing, and New York and Boston, is that many are "just-in-case" children, vectors to more permanent residency for their families.

The arrest and disappearance of world-renowned artist Ai Weiwei is but the latest evidence that the political culture of China is shifting toward that of a police state. For the past 20 years, the upper classes in China's cities have been able to negotiate an ever widening-space of freedom for themselves. It was possible to talk to censors who, by and large, were willing to liberalize when possible. Private networks and workarounds let elites retain access to information when Google, YouTube, and Twitter were shut down. Artists were allowed to criticize the growing inequality in society in their work.

This appears to be ending as the military and extremely conservative political forces restrict civic and cultural spaces. The Middle East upheavals and the prospect of a more liberal Tiananmen generation soon taking power has pushed policy to the extreme right in China. Political control in universities is tightening and overseas travel for scientists is being scrutinized. While government economic policy favors "indigenous innovation" and Beijing's five-year plan focusses on innovation, the free flow of information and creative expression are being repressed.

Meanwhile, some 20% to 30% of college graduates every year can't get white-collar jobs and do menial work while protests against corruption in rural areas and rising inequality in the city increase in number. High-profile officials and businessmen are being arrested or blocked. The head of China's famous high-speed train project was just arrested for corruption. The CEO of BYD, China's electric-car company that has Warren Buffet as an investor, has run afoul of authorities who prevent him from expanding production. Indeed, politically-connected state enterprises are reasserting themselves against the entire private sector.

Beneath the gloss of high-GDP growth numbers, there is now a whiff of fear in China. A bright future for the political and economic elites is not as guaranteed as once thought. Sending their children to study in the U.S. is an insurance policy that many Chinese are purchasing. These overseas students make up China's new just-in-case generation.
http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2011/04/ ... _preparing_for.html

xie0581

翻译一下好吗

diver18

翻译一下好吗
xie0581 发表于 2011-4-8 09:56

我不是好的翻译，所以我的很多帖子都摆在 原文库 给 大家 做贡献了。

是中国的精英为流亡准备？

前香港的回归中控制年，其丰富和中上阶层的儿童被送往大批加拿大，澳大利亚，英国和美国的学校教育 - 和护照。这些儿童是他们的家人，如果走火通道逃生是必要的。我们可能看到同样的现象与中国的政治和经济精英的孩子到学校大逃亡国外重演。

这一次，美国是最青睐的目的地有10万中国学生在美国大学和学院学习 - 比任何其他国家都多。更多的高中和寄宿学校就读数以千计。在上海和北京，纽约和波士顿的谈话，是很多“只是在情况”的儿童，为他们的家属永久居留载体。

逮捕和世界著名的艺术家艾未未消失，不过是最新的证据表明，中国的政治文化正在向一个警察国家的转移。在过去的20年中，中国的城市中上层阶级已经能够通过谈判为自己不断扩大，自由的空间。这是可能的交谈检查员谁，总的来说，愿意在可能的自由化。专用网络和解决方法，让精英保留获取信息当谷歌，YouTube和Twitter的被关闭。艺术家们可以批评他们的工作在社会日益增长的不平等。

这似乎就要结束的军事和政治势力非常保守的限制公民和文化空间。中东动荡和一个更宽松的天安门一代即将上台的前景已使中国的政策，在最右边。政治大学控制收紧和海外旅行的科学家目前正在审议。虽然政府的经济政策有利于“自主创新”和北京的五年计划的主要论点集中于创新，信息和创造性表达的自由流动受到压抑。

与此同时，一些高校20％至30％，每年的毕业生不能获得白领工作，做粗重工作，而反腐败的农村地区和城市数量的增加日益严重的不平等的抗议活动。高调的官员和商人被逮捕或阻止。在中国著名的高速列车项目的负责人只是涉嫌腐败。比亚迪的，中国的电动车公司，已作为一个投资者沃伦巴菲特，首席执行官运行当局扩大生产谁阻止他发生冲突。事实上，在政治上连接的国有企业重新确立对整个私营部门本身。

下面的光泽高GDP增长数字，现在有一种担心，在中国味儿。为政治和经济精英光明的未来并不像以前的思想保证。送子女留学，美国是一个保险的政策，许多华人购买。这些中国留学生组成的新刚刚在例代。

logo0

问题的关键是：西方反华势力为中国JY们准备好跑路费了吗？

刀田阳

中国真吓人啊，都快跑吧。

diver18

http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-3089286-1-1.html

不了了之

可怜那些JY一个个都卖国无门啊

西域无风

估计很多人还是会留下来准备带路，再说谁会把狼养在自己的家里，都是扔在敌人的窝里才会起作用。

左田空心菜

带路不成就跑路，很正常！
但是前提都是要洋大爷给钱。