【Cahsrblog20140401】中国高铁蚕食航空业利润-美国加州高铁...

日月星辰

【中文标题】高铁蚕食了中国航空业利润-这是一个好消息
【原文链接】http://www.cahsrblog.com/2014/04/high-speed-rail-eats-into-chinese-airline-profits-and-thats-good-news/
【译文链接】http://www.ltaaa.com/bbs/thread-280325-1-1.html


背景介绍：cahsrblog，顾名思义，是美国加州高铁项目的支持者创办的博客，每天分享高铁讯息，加州高铁进展和世界范围内高铁的发展。
4月1日美国著名科技博客QZ发表文章称中国航空业2013年的财务报告极其悲惨，除了成本升高之外，
国内快速发展的高铁网络是航空业利润下降的一个主要原因。对此此博主对此进行了点评。

High Speed Rail Eats Into Chinese Airline Profits – And That’s Good News
高铁蚕食了中国航空业利润-这是一个好消息

One of the main reasons to build high speed rail in California is to lure passengers away from airlines, which spew huge amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere, and put them onto bullet trains powered by renewable electricity. All over the world we’ve seen how riders will make the shift from planes to trains once given the choice, and more news from China proves it again:

在加州建高铁的一个主要原因就是从航空分流一部分旅客，航空会向大气排放大量的二氧化碳，然后让这些人登上由可再生电力驱动的高速列车里。全世界范围我们看到，一旦有选择，人们如何从飞机转向火车。来自中国的一个消息又一次证实了这点

China Southern Airlines is the latest Chinese airline to post miserable year-end 2013 results. Net profit dropped 24 percent to 1.99 billion yuan ($321 million), and operating profit fell 70 percent. China Southern Airlines joins Air China, where net profit dropped 32 percent in 2013, and China Eastern Airlines, where it fell by 25 percent.

High oil prices, as well as increased competition from low-cost carriers and each other, have taken a toll. But, as each airline has recently acknowledged, so has China’s massive and growing high-speed rail system.

中国南方航空公司是中国最后一个公布其2013年那悲惨的结果。纯利润下跌了24%到19.9亿元，营业利润下跌了70%，南航和国行一起，纯利润下降了32%，东航下跌了25%。

高油价、廉价航空公司的分流都是造成收益下降的因素。实际上，航空公司已认识到，国内快速而大规模发展的高铁是造成当前局面的一个重要原因。

What may surprise you is that this is a good sign for American airlines.

可能会让你吃惊的是这对美国航空业来说这是一个好的迹象。

As this blog has repeatedly explained, US airlines want to focus on the more profitable medium and long haul routes rather than place their bets on the short haul routes like San Francisco to Los Angeles. That’s why Virgin America is leaving SJC and ending its San José to LA flights – they make more money flying east to other parts of the North American continent than they do flying within California.

正如这个博客反复解释的，美国航空公司想要集中精力在利润更高的中长途路线上而不是在短途线路上像旧金山到洛杉矶，这也是为什么维珍美国离开了圣何塞国际机场，结束了圣何塞到洛杉矶的航班：他们飞东海岸到北美其他地区能获得更高利润，而不是局限在加州范围内。

Low-cost carriers that got their start on short haul routes are making the switch. And they want HSR to replace those short haul routes because it opens up more gates at existing airport terminals so these carriers can operate more medium and long haul flights. It’s whyJetBlue is bullish on HSR and why Virgin and Southwest want to operate the California HSR system.

经营短途线路的廉价航空也开始了转变，他们想要高铁代替那些短途线路因为这会在机场的候机楼开通的更多的中长途的柜台窗口。这也是为什么捷蓝航空看好高铁，维珍和西南航空想要运营加州高铁系统的原因。

In the early 1990s Southwest Airlines helped kill a Texas high speed rail proposal. 20 years later they are not standing in the way of HSR anywhere in the country. The executives who run California’s airports, including SFO, wholeheartedly embrace HSR because they see it as a complement to their services, not a threat.

在90年代早期西南航空成功废掉了德克萨斯州的高铁提案，20年后他们不再阻挡这个国家的任何地方的高铁。运营加州机场包括旧金山国际机场的高管，全心全意的拥抱高铁，因为他们看到了这是对他们服务的补充而不是一个威胁。

China’s experience with high speed rail shows once again that if you build it, they will ride. That’s exactly what the airlines are banking on and why they want HSR to be built as planned.

中国在高铁的经验又一次表明了只要你建高铁，就会有人乘坐。这也正是航空公司指望的，也是为什么他们希望高铁能够如期建设的原因。

paoding

嗯，估计波音公司能够在华盛顿找到更多的游说公司，美国要大规模建高铁的话，除非是波音公司之类的大亨寡头们想要染指了。。。

话说回来，如果美国还是那么点人，其建了高铁也会必然亏损，除非美国放开移民，估计到个七八亿人口的话可能可以盈利、、、