[闪人评论] 俄格冲突神秘人物怀特：教师乎？特工乎？

flasher

【闪人评论】俄格冲突神秘人物怀特：教师乎？特工乎？

           Anti-CNN.COM 特约评论员  flasher

2008.09.05 首发于 http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-96981-1-1.html
2008.09.06 更新于 http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-97204-1-1.html

新闻背景：
■ 俄军参谋部27日在俄新社举行的记者例会上证实，确实有非格鲁吉亚籍的外国公民曾经到过交战地区，俄军在冲突区打扫战场时发现了一名美国公民护照。诺戈维岑在记者例会上展示了这本护照的彩色复印件。这位美国公民名叫迈克尔·怀特（Michael Lee White），出生日期为1967年12月11日，居住地址为德克萨斯州。[1]
■ 怀特说，他从未到过格鲁吉亚。“我不知道为什么那位俄罗斯将军那么说。不知道有谁会相信他的话”[2-5]


俄格冲突这种事，连国际事务的傻子都知道美国在其中起了很大作用，至少没有美国态度明确的撑腰，就没有格鲁吉亚总统萨卡什维利对俄罗斯直接挑衅的大胆军事行动。这一点上，无论哪派都是承认的，哪怕有的人嘴上可能不愿意直接说出来。

现在的舆论焦点，则集中在美国到底有没有直接军事卷入俄格冲突。尽管美国的政治卷入众所周知，但直接军事卷入还是和政治卷入有本质上的区别。美国对格鲁吉亚政治上的支持虽然让俄罗斯不快，但这种动嘴巴的事情毕竟不能算作“不能忍受”，君不见几十年来以美国为首的西方集团对他们认定的“反对”国家就一直没有停止过“动嘴”。君子动口不动手，“动嘴”虽然让人不快，但被动的人也说不出来太强烈的反对理由，更何况美国的“动嘴”总还是披着“新闻自由”、“人权”、“真相”之类的华丽外衣呢。

然而如果这次俄方真的拿出证据来证明美国不仅大动了嘴巴，而且还动了动手，那么情况就不同了。

首先是道德制高点上，美国马上就不得不仰视俄罗斯。战争这个东西，虽然是实力说了算，但正义性无论如何都是不能缺少的。试想，花了那么多钱，陪上那么多士兵的生命，如果打的是不义之战，就犹如踩在鸡蛋做的梯子上，要是本国民众发现发动战争的总统是拿着纳税人的钱和国民的生命闹着玩，那梯子说碎就碎，总统被当场摔死的结局大概不会和越战的先例有什么区别。这正是小布什无论如何也要给侵略阿富汗和伊拉克找个堂而皇之的理由的原因。对俄格冲突来说，如果是美国直接派人参与格鲁吉亚的战争，那么美国就是导致大量平民伤亡，将大规模战争的阴影带到欧洲边上的罪魁祸首。果真如此的话，美国的表情就不能仅仅用“尴尬”两字来形容了，尤其是在西方媒体做足了南奥塞梯冲突之非人道性的舆论宣传后。

其次，苏联解体后，俄罗斯虽然被西方搞得瘦骨嶙峋，国力衰弱，但瘦死的骆驼比马大，加上在普京上台后的整肃下，实力日渐增加，真要正面冲突起来，即便是美国不叫痛，欧洲也要叫痛了。所以，美国无论如何都会避免和俄罗斯正面冲突的，尤其是如果把俄罗斯逼急了，来个同归于尽，我是穷人我怕谁，只怕美国的超级富翁们不等开照面会就直接把总统废了。果真美国派人对俄罗斯下手成了全世界都看到的事实的话，要想让俄罗斯按捺下脾气就有点问题了。

所以，这个看似名不见经传的小人物怀特，其实是保持或者打破当前脆弱的平衡的关键点。怀特的美军空降师背景，在中国、越南、俄罗斯、哈萨克等地穿梭旅行的爱好，多本护照的传奇等等，都是可以引起诸多联想和猜测的资料。美国方面自然不会傻到承认俄方指责的地步，即便怀特真的是美国特工。美国舆论呢，无需政府指使，自然是开足马力以“客观分析”的面目翻出克格勃的旧事说事，以此证明俄方的证据其实是“那个”的。须知美国媒体一直占据的道德制高点要是失守，那可不是好玩的。

不过怀特到底是教师还是特工呢？这个问题恐怕永远也不会有答案。冷战热战经验都丰富的美国，哪能轻易让人抓住把柄。无论怀特的真实身份是什么，恐怕他都不会跟美国政府有直接的关系，跟格鲁吉亚的关系只能是个人的。看多了好莱坞电影的一个好处就是，我们熟悉了这么一句台词：这是个人行为，跟政府无关。

【参考文献】
[1] 【8.28俄新网】俄军参谋部证实在交战现场找到美国公民护照 http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-94798-1-5.html
[2] 神秘人物怀特：在华英语教师－美国特工?俄格战争挑起者? http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-97172-1-1.html
[3] 广州美籍外教迈克尔·李·怀特是什么样的人？ http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-96988-1-1.html
[4] Los Angeles Times, American accused by Russia says he's never been to Georgia. http://www.latimes.com/news/nati ... passport4-2008sep04,0,5724854.story
[5] The Moscow Times, American Teacher Denies Spying in South Ossetia. http://www.themoscowtimes.com/article/1010/42/370700.htm


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[ 本帖最后由 flasher 于 2008-9-6 09:14 编辑 ]

flasher

【媒体】Los Angeles Times
【标题】American accused by Russia says he's never been to Georgia.
【链接】 http://www.latimes.com/news/nati ... passport4-2008sep04,0,5724854.story
【正文】
American accused by Russia says he's never been to Georgia
From the Associated Press, From the Associated Press
September 4, 2008

GUANGZHOU, CHINA -- Russian officials have said Michael Lee White was a U.S. agent involved in the recent fighting between their troops and Georgia. They claim to have found the Army veteran's passport in Georgia's breakaway province of South Ossetia.

But in his cramped teacher's apartment at a business college in southern China, the American said Wednesday that he'd never been to Georgia.

When the five-day war was raging last month, White said, he was in his hometown of Austin, Texas, caring for his sick father.

The CIA denied that White was working for it.

White thinks the passport the Russians have is one he lost during a flight from Moscow to New York in October 2005. White said he reported his lost passport and was given a new one the same year.

"It still seems bizarre that they would make accusations like that with so little evidence," said White, a soft-spoken English teacher.

Russian officials have suggested that Americans directly supported Georgia's Aug. 7 assault on South Ossetia, which is backed by Russia.

Russian Col. Gen. Anatoly Nogovitsyn, showed reporters a copy of what he said was White's passport Aug. 28.

He said it was found in a basement among items that belonged to retreating Georgian soldiers.



[ 本帖最后由 flasher 于 2008-9-6 08:49 编辑 ]

flasher

【媒体】The Moscow Times
【标题】American Teacher Denies Spying in South Ossetia
【链接】http://www.themoscowtimes.com/article/1010/42/370700.htm
【正文】
Friday, September 05, 2008
Updated at 05 September 2008 0:06 Moscow Time.
The Moscow Times » Issue 3982 » News

American Teacher Denies Spying in South Ossetia
05 September 2008
By William Foreman / The Associated Press
GUANGZHOU, China -- Russian officials say Michael Lee White was a U.S. agent involved in the recent fighting between their troops and Georgia. They claim to have found the Army veteran's passport in the country.

But in his cramped teacher's apartment thousands of kilometers away at a business college in southern China, the American said he had never been to Georgia. When the five-day war was raging last month, White said, he was in his hometown of Austin, Texas, caring for his sick father.

The CIA on Wednesday denied that White was working for the U.S. intelligence agency.

"While we do not as a rule confirm or deny employment with the agency, in this case, any suggestion that Michael Lee White is a CIA officer is wrong," said Marie Harf, a CIA spokeswoman.

White's name popped up Aug. 28 as Russian officials were suggesting that Americans directly supported Georgia's Aug. 8 assault on South Ossetia.

As evidence, the deputy chief of the armed forces' General Staff, General Anatoly Nogovitsyn, showed reporters a color copy of what he said was White's passport. He claimed that it was found in a basement in a village in South Ossetia among items that belonged to retreating Georgian soldiers.

"We don't know what was the purpose of this person's visit to South Ossetia ... but he was arming Georgian special forces in that building. That's a fact," Nogovitsyn said.

When the allegation was made, White, 41, said he was flying to China to begin a new teaching job at the Guangdong University of Business Studies. He said he was unaware of the accusation until Saturday, when he was able to set up his computer and access the Internet.

He found an e-mail from his mother saying the State Department had called with an urgent message for him but would not say what it was.

"Before you think we're crazy, Google your name + Putin and Georgia and see what comes up," she wrote. "You'll be amazed that you -- or your passport at least -- is in the center of an international controversy."

White says that from July 18 to Aug. 28 he was in Texas caring for his ailing 85-year-old father.

Before leaving China, White said he taught English from February to July at a school in Shenzhen, close to Hong Kong. Over the past decade, he has lived, studied and traveled in Japan, Russia, Vietnam, Kazakhstan, England and Australia, he said.

White thinks the passport the Russians have is one he lost during a flight from Moscow to New York in October 2005. He said he must have left the travel document in the seat pocket in front of him. He realized that it was missing when he was clearing customs, and he was not allowed to go back to retrieve it, he said. The plane crew said they could not find it.

White said he filled out a State Department form reporting his lost passport and he was given a new one the same year.