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本帖最后由 vivicat 于 2009-12-6 01:38 编辑
【原文链接】http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200911u/china-nine-nations
【作者】Patrick Chovanec
【日期】2009-11-5
【英文标题】The Nine Nations of China
【说明】
作者是清华大学经济管理学院的教授。他在World Press上写有自己的博客(chovanec.wordpress.com)。这篇文章他在自己的博客上还另写了一篇说明,Investing In China: Why The Nine Nations Matters(原文需要翻墙看,我在三楼全文转载了)。Atlantic这篇文章转载的时候有些单词黏在一起了。
【原文】
1、
This week, President Obama makes his first state visit to China.What kind of country will he find there? We tend to imagine China as amonolith: 1.3 billion people sharing the same language, history, andculture. The truth is far more interesting. China is a mosaic of several distinct regions, each with its own resources, dynamics, andhistorical character.
As a traveler, teacher, and professional investor who has been exploring China since 1986, I’ve come to think of these regions as the Nine Nations of China (inspired, in part, by Joel Garreau’s Nine Nations of North America). Taken individually, these “nations” would account for eight of the 20 most populous countries in the world.
As China’s economy becomes more integrated, these regional differences are taking on greater importance than ever before. Each of the Nine Nations faces a unique set of challenges and opportunities incarving out its own competitive niche. Anyone who wants to do businessin China, make policy towards China, or simply comprehend the dramaticchanges happening there should understand the Nine Nations and the role each of them is playing in shaping China’s future.
2、
THE YELLOW LAND
(Beijing, Tianjin, Shandong, Hebei, Henan, Shanxi, Shaanxi)
Territory: 906,243 km2 (9% of total)
Population: 359 million (27% of total)
Per Capital GDP: $3,855
Exports as % of GDP: 16%
China was born on the banks of the Yellow River, where the silt-ladenwater, rich alluvial soil, and the harvested wheat all share the same yellow hue. This is China’s breadbasket where buns, dumplings, andnoodles, rather than rice, are standard fare. But the fertile Yellow Land is vulnerable to droughts and floods, as well as jealous invaders.Since ancient times, its inhabitants have turned to a strong centralgovernment to keep them safe behind high walls and embankments. Inancient times, the emperor’s yellow robes symbolized his absolute command over the natural forces—earth, water, grain—that ensure life.
Ruling the Yellow Land is a delicate balancing act. On its own, theYellow Land would rank as the second most populous nation on earth,with more people than the United States packed into less than one tenththe territory. Its resources, while plentiful, are stretched to thelimit. The Yellow Land produces huge quantities of basic staples likewheat, cotton, and peanuts, but is rapidly running short of water. Ithas rich energy reserves, but over-dependence on coal accounts for someof the world’s worst air pollution.
One resource this “nation” never lacks is clout. For most of China’shistory, the Yellow Land has been the center of political power. It canattract talent on a massive scale, giving it immense influence. China’sleaders hope these advantages can turn Beijing into a high-techresearch hub and transform a select handful of state-sponsoredcompanies like Lenovo and Haier into “national champions” that candominate global markets. But the heavy hand of the government can bestifling here. Can the Yellow Land leverage its power to open up newopportunities? Or will a region that fears innovation inevitably fallbehind?
3、
THE BACK DOOR
(Hong Kong, Macau, Guangdong, Hainan)
Territory: 231,963 km2 (2% of total)
Population: 112 million (8% of total)
Per Capita GDP: $6,910
Exports as % of GDP: 82%
In Chinese, the “back door” refers to a way of doing business outsidethe normal, approved channels. The South Sea coast is China’s BackDoor, far enough from the centers of power that nobody will notice ifyou bend a few rules. As locals put it, “The sky is broad and theemperor is far away.” Officials who were exiled to Yueh, as this landwas once known, found it a fearful place whose inhabitants spokestrange dialects—Cantonese, mainly—and feasted on snakes, cats, andmonkeys. But its clan-based villages, lush jungles, and rocky inletsoffered ideal shelter for smugglers and secret societies to flourish.Unlike their staid northern cousins, these freebooters learned to takerisks and profit from them. Other Chinese regard southerners as clever,sharp, and a bit slippery. But as rebels and renegades, emigrants andentrepreneurs, they infuse much needed flexibility and creativity intoan otherwise rigid system.
The Back Door might be troublesome to China’s rulers, but it has alsobeen useful. When China was closed to the outside world, enclaves likeCanton, Macau, and Hong Kong offered safely removed points of contactand exchange. So when Deng Xiaoping wanted to open China’s economy totrade and investment, the Back Door offered an ideal laboratory. Ifreforms failed, they could be disowned and contained withoutcontaminating the rest of China. In fact, they succeeded beyondanyone’s wildest expectations, transforming the region into an exportjuggernaut and a model for the rest of China.
The Back Door’s very success, however, poses a dilemma. Now that therest of China has applied its example, is a laboratory reallynecessary? The region may have found a new purpose as a playground forChinese tourists who gamble in Macau’s casinos, frolic at Hainan’sbeach resorts, and ride the rides at Hong Kong’s new Disneyland. Butthere are others who think the experiment isn’t over, that the BackDoor still has vital lessons to teach about democracy and rule of law.Perhaps China still needs a few rebels—at a safe distance, of course.
4、
THE METROPOLIS
(Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang)
Territory: 216,008 km2 (2% of total)
Population: 147 million (11% of total)
Per Capita GDP: $6,406
Exports as % of GDP: 58%
Sleek, stylish, confident—Shanghai certainly makes an impression. Itssteel skyscrapers look like rocket ships ready to blast off into thefuture, taking China along with it. Shanghai is a very young city byChinese standards, but the Yangtze River delta—known in ancient timesas the kingdom of Wu—has always been the most commercial andcosmopolitan part of China. Like the Low Countries at the mouth of theRhine, it is a flat watery land crisscrossed by busy canals linking aconstellation of trading cities. The Back Door may succeed in breakingthe rules, but only the Metropolis has the wealth and dynamism toentirely reshape them. Its treasure fleets nearly discovered Europe acentury before Columbus sailed, and of the Nine Nations, it is the onlyone to have displaced the Yellow Land—several times—as China’spolitical capital.
The Metropolis likes to see itself as China’s bright and beckoningfuture, but the feelings it stirs in other parts of China are decidedlymixed. While its residents see themselves as adaptable andforward-thinking, to many Chinese they come across as arrogantcity-slickers—cliquish, crassly materialistic, and slavishly eager tomimic foreign ways. Shanghai had a pre-war reputation as a neon-litversion of Sodom and Gomorrah, and when China was “Red,” the Metropolispaid dearly for its “Black” capitalist past. Consigned to purgatory forover 40 years, the region bore the brunt of the Cultural Revolution andwas starved for development funds—essentially frozen in time—until theearly 1990s.
The rebirth of the Metropolis did not take place on its own terms. Itwas the result of a political decision, made in Beijing, to transformthe region into a carefully designed showcase of what China couldachieve. The state has poured tremendous resources into industrialparks, infrastructure, and Shanghai’s glittering new financialdistrict, attracting huge amounts of foreign direct investment. Butthis subsidized, scale-driven growth model—where bigger is alwaysbetter—makes for an economy dangerously prone to speculation. The besthope for the Metropolis lies not in ever-greater capacity andever-taller buildings but in smaller, nimbler, entrepreneurialenterprises that draw on the region’s distinctive flair for marketing,design, and fashion.
5、
THE REFUGE
(Sichuan, Chongqing)
Territory: 569,800 km2 (6% of total)
Population: 110 million (8% of total)
Per Capita GDP: $2,303
Exports as % of GDP: 5%
Tucked deep in China’s interior, Sichuan is a rich agricultural basinthe size of France, surrounded on all sides by a ring of nearlyimpassible mountains. These bamboo-covered slopes are home to thepanda, its last refuge from a rapidly encroaching world. For man aswell as beast, Sichuan has always been China's place of refuge.Throughout history it has served as a secure supply base for China’srulers, and a place to retreat and regroup in times of invasion andunrest. In World War II, when Japan occupied all of coastal China,loyalist forces relocated their capital to the Refuge to carry on thefight. During the Cold War, vital industries were purposely located inits remote valleys to protect them from the enemy.
The Refuge is able to perform such a strategic role because it isvirtually self-sufficient. The ancient lands of Shu (centered onChengdu, to the west) and Ba (to the east, around Chongqing) have beenblessed with every ingredient essential to Chinese life—rice, wheat,silk, tea, salt, iron, pork. Safe like a tortoise in its shell, thepopulation here prefers a relaxed way of life, composing poetry inteahouses or savoring the region’s famously spicy food. This splendidisolation has a downside: the region attracts little foreign trade andinvestment—before last year’s devastating earthquake put Sichuan in theheadlines, most people outside of China were hardly aware it existed.Brain drain is another chronic problem: the region’s most talented andmotivated young people tend to leave, seeking better opportunitieselsewhere.
Today, the barriers that have insulated the Refuge are breaking down.New ports, highways, and pipelines are connecting Sichuan to a widermarketplace, giving rise to promising new industries like natural gas,snack foods, and motorcycles, but also posing new challenges to theregion’s sheltered way of life. How its people adapt to these changeswill determine whether the Refuge prospers or becomes, like the panda,an endangered species.
iseesee认领1-5
新手报道
这个貌似没人认领 我可以试试吗 先认领1-3,如果其它没人翻译,我可以接着来
不过我的水平有限,速度可不快哦
iseesee 发表于 2009-12-2 22:22
好吧 我继续认领4-5段
iseesee 发表于 2009-12-5 12:14 |
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