【10.1.28 CNN】Davos spotlight on China's next premier?

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【原文标题】Davos spotlight on China's next premier?
【原文链接】) http://edition.cnn.com/2010/BUSINESS/01/27/davos.beijing.premier.ft/index.html
【时间或作者】By Geoff Dyer, FT.com                     January 28, 2010 -- Updated 0311 GMT (1111 HKT)

【正文】

(FT) -- China's leadership succession process will step up a gear on Thursday when Li Keqiang, the man widely tipped to be the country's next premier, addresses the World Economic Forum.

The speech will be by far the most high-profile overseas engagement for Mr Li since he became a vice-premier two years ago.
Political analysts said his trip to Davos was part of a strategy to raise his profile as speculation about the leadership transfer was increasing.

Mr Li and Xi Jinping were both elevated to the Communist party's nine-man politburo standing committee at a key party congress in 2007, with Mr Xi later also being named as vice-president.

Since then, the strong conventional wisdom has been that Mr Xi will take over from Hu Jintao, China's president, in 2012-13 and that Mr Li will succeed Wen Jiabao as premier.

However, given the lack of transparency about high-level politics in China and the absence of a formal succession process, there remains some uncertainty about the eventual outcome. Questions were raised last year about Mr Xi when he did not win an expected promotion to the body that runs the Chinese military. There is also conjecture that Mr Li might still be gunning for the presidency and that rivals are positioning themselves to be the next premier should he slip up.

"The succession is probably not yet a done deal," said Russell Leigh Moses, a Beijing-based political analyst. "How Li handles himself in Davos is going to be part of the portfolio by which others in Beijing evaluate him."

Mr Li has made three low-key international trips since he became a vice-premier but his Davos speech, which comes at a time of increasing frictions with the US over Google, trade and climate change, will be his biggest diplomatic test yet. It follows a period of several months when he has enjoyed a much higher profile in China's official media.

An economics graduate with a PhD in law, Mr Li spent the early part of his career in the Communist Youth League, the party organisation that has been Mr Hu's power base.

However, his rise up the party ranks has not always been smooth and included a difficult tenure as governor and then party secretary of Henan province during a scandal over an Aids epidemic linked to infected blood. Although not directly responsible, Mr Li was criticised for the weak initial response to the epidemic and for a failed attempt at a news blackout.

"There is a feeling among some people in China that he is quite weak and untested," says David Shambaugh, a Chinese politics expert at George Washington University living in Beijing. "Since the end of last summer there has been an obvious effort in state media to try to build him up."

Mr Li's early years have also prompted speculation about his potential liberal political leanings. He attended Peking University in the late 1970s, a time of intellectual ferment about politics, helped to translate a work of campaigning British judge Lord Denning and was friends with several reform-minded students who later were involved in the Tiananmen Square protests in 1989. As a party official, however, he has given little indication of strong support for far-reaching political reform.

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其实已经翻译完了。。。
http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-220424-1-1.html