【每日电讯报20121019】英国GDP数据的真实性比中国的还糟糕

woikuraki

【中文标题】吉姆·奥尼尔：英国GDP数据的真实性比中国的还糟糕
【原文标题】Accuracy of UK GDP data 'worse than China', says Jim O'Neill
【登载媒体】每日电讯报
【原文链接】http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/festival-of-business/9620479/Accuracy-of-UK-GDP-data-worse-than-China-says-Jim-ONeill.html

The UK's economic potential depends far more on how businesses ride the growth coming from China and the rest of the world’s newer economic powers, argued Mr O’Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
“People should not be as obsessed about this [eurozone] issue as they seem to be in this country – and certainly our political leaders should not be blaming all of our problems on them [the euro members],” he told The Telegraph’s Festival of Business.
“It’s not really 'what about the [US] fiscal cliff', or whether Greece will survive in the eurozone or not. It’s what is going on in China, Brazil, Russia, India, and some of these other nations that are becoming so important to us as well."
Last year China’s growing economy created the equivalent of a new Greece every three months, he said. Together the BRICs – Brazil, Russia India and China – created the equivalent of a new Italy, the world’s eighth biggest economy, in just 12 months.
“This is the big opportunity for Britain’s post crisis future in terms of raising our exports to these nations,” Mr O’Neill argued.
RELATED ARTICLES

• Britain's mid-sized firms flex their muscles 20 Oct 2012
• Festival of Business: as it happened-October 19, 2012 19 Oct 2012
• We will cut red tape for SMEs - Fallon 19 Oct 2012
• Sir Terry Leahy: UK firms stop short after early successes 19 Oct 2012
• Live: Telegraph Festival of Business 19 Oct 2012
• The damage politicians do to business: parts one, two and three 18 Oct 2012
  
  

He pointed to Germany, which he said now exports more to BRIC countries than it does to France, insulating it from the effects of the eurozone crisis in other euro countries. In the next 18 months, it is “quite possible” that Germany will export more to China than it will to any other country in the world.The next decade, as he defined it, will be about China become “more like us” – boosting consumption, exporting less – and the UK becoming more like China.Mr O’Neill also voiced his “growing suspicious” is that the UK’s economic data is not accurately reflecting growth. “The guys that publish the GDP data are worse at it than the Chinese,” he said.Next week, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) should report that the economy grew between 0.7pc and 1pc in the third quarter of this year, he said. However he said he could guarantee that the initial estimate coming from statisticians will be later revised.The ONS, which gives its first growth estimates faster than many of its counterparts in other countries, has defended its track record in the face of such criticism. Some argue that early estimates of growth are helpful, even if later revised.Looking to 2013, around two thirds of attendees in the audience predicted via a poll that the UK would grow up to 1pc next year, with around 30pc prepared for growth of between 1pc and 3pc. Just the minority remaining thought that the UK economy would shrink.Addressing Europe, Mr O’Neill described the eurozone crisis as the “most unnecessary crisis” he had seen in his 30 years in finance.Only one of its members, Finland, would today meet the criteria to join the currency as defined by Germany and its other members originally. However, he did not see the situation as a sovereign debt crisis, arguing that eurozone has the money to save itself.The problem is that domestic politics is interfering with the area operating as a true shared currency region, he said.

doraemonls

收一篇:D

doraemonls

已翻译，参见http://bbs.m4.cn/thread-3387432-1-1.html